Hull City vs Manchester United Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hull City vs Manchester United
Match Preview
The model favours Manchester United to win against Hull City, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Manchester United enters the season with a solid foundation, having finished in mid-table last year and maintaining a competitive edge in their recent matches. Their last five fixtures indicate a trend of improvement, with three wins in that span, suggesting they have the momentum needed to start the new season strong. Hull City, while currently positioned in the league with a fresh slate, brings a mixed bag of form from their previous matches. They have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, indicating they can perform well. However, as they transition into a new season, the lack of competitive action this year could hinder their readiness against a team like Manchester United. The model output shows a win probability of around 60% for Manchester United, alongside the projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Manchester United scoring at least two goals. However, one caveat is that both teams are entering the season without any competitive matches played this year, which could lead to unexpected results. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Manchester United have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Manchester United win as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Manchester United are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hull City vs Manchester United| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 8.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 9.60 | 5.50 | 1.34 | 1.57 | 2.44 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.83 | 2.00 | |
| 9.20 | 5.28 | 1.35 | 1.58 | 2.49 | — | — | |
| 7.05 | 4.43 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 2.23 | — | — | |
| 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.35 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.83 | |
| 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 9.75 | 5.59 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 2.44 | 1.85 | 1.87 | |
| 9.50 | 5.30 | 1.33 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.94 | 1.79 | |
| 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.33 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.95 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 10.00 | 5.20 | 1.36 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
Superbet | 8.50 | 5.55 | 1.34 | 1.58 | 2.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Manchester United leads 5-1)In the last eight matches between Hull City and Manchester United, Manchester United has won five times, Hull City has won once, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Manchester United, with three of their victories being by at least two goals. The only win for Hull City came in the League Cup in January 2017, while the most recent match in February 2017 ended in a goalless draw. This suggests that Manchester United has had a stronger hold in this matchup historically, with Hull City struggling to secure wins in recent encounters.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 | Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 19 |  Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 20 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHull City have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Manchester United 2-0 and drew with Nice 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 9L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Manchester United have won 5 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Manchester United 2-0 and drew with Paris Saint Germain 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 6L from the last 26 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHull City3-4-2-1Confirmed
Manchester United4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
15 playersHull City9
Manchester United6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. England has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. England to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Hull City average 1.2 goals per match at home; Manchester United 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Manchester United have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Manchester United player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
