Hungary vs Georgia Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hungary vs Georgia
Match Preview
Hungary enters this knockout fixture against Georgia with a slight edge based on their recent competitive form. The team has shown resilience, securing three wins in their last eight matches, including a 3-1 victory over Kazakhstan and a solid 2-1 win against Finland. Their ability to find the net consistently, coupled with a strong defensive showing in a goalless draw against Greece, suggests they have the tools to perform well in this high-stakes match. Georgia, on the other hand, has struggled in their recent outings, managing only two wins in their last eight competitive fixtures. Their form includes four losses, with notable defeats against stronger teams like Spain and Türkiye. While they have shown glimpses of promise, such as a 2-2 draw against Israel, their overall trajectory indicates they may find it challenging to match Hungary's current momentum. In this neutral venue, both teams face the pressure of a win-or-out scenario, making every moment critical. Hungary will aim to capitalize on Georgia's recent struggles, while Georgia must find a way to elevate their performance to keep their tournament hopes alive. One caveat to consider is the limited sample of recent competitive matches for both teams, which may not fully represent their capabilities. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has evaluated this fixture through an in-house model that incorporates aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the broader tournament context.
About the Teams
Hungary
Profile data not available yet.
Georgia
Profile data not available yet.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Hungary manage games at home, conceding just 1.08 goals per match. Georgia score 1.17 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Hungary have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Hungary clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Hungary are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hungary vs Georgia| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.28 | 3.34 | 2.20 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | |
| 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.23 | 1.69 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.13 | 3.11 | 2.21 | 1.68 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.31 | 3.32 | 3.38 | 2.23 | 1.72 | 1.87 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.09 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Hungary leads 1-0)Hungary has won 1 match against Georgia, with no draws or wins for Georgia. The only meeting took place recently in 2026 during the UEFA Nations League, where Hungary secured a 1-0 victory. With just one competitive match in their history, this small sample size does not support any definitive trends between the two teams.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHungary have won 4 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Hungary 0-1 and beat Hungary 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 3L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Georgia have won 1 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lithuania 0-2 and lost to Bulgaria 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 3D 6L from the last 12 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHungary4-2-3-1Confirmed
Georgia3-4-1-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHungary
No reported absences
Georgia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Srdjan Jovanovic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Srdjan Jovanovic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Hungary have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Georgia 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Hungary have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hungary player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.