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Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars Prediction, Tips & Odds

Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars

NPFLRegular Season - 10
Ikorodu City
#9 ยท NPFL
LWLDW
VS
Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos
Shooting Stars
#15 ยท NPFL
WLDDL

Match Preview

The model favours Ikorodu City to win against Shooting Stars, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Ikorodu City currently sits in 6th place in the league, having gained 12 points from 8 matches. Their season form reflects a balanced approach, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored 10 goals while conceding 7, indicating a solid goal difference of +3, which has contributed to their competitive standing. In contrast, Shooting Stars find themselves in 17th place, struggling with only 8 points from their 8 matches. Their season has been challenging, marked by just 2 wins and 4 losses. With 7 goals scored and 11 conceded, they have a negative goal difference of -4. Their recent form has not been encouraging, as they have failed to secure a win in their last five matches, with three losses and two draws. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Ikorodu City, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is that if Shooting Stars can improve their defensive organisation, they might disrupt Ikorodu City's attacking rhythm. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Head to Head

Last 4 Meetings (Ikorodu City leads 2-0)
2 Ikorodu City2 Draw0 Shooting Stars
29 Jan
Ikorodu City
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
Sept 25
Shooting Stars
1-1
Ikorodu City
NPFL
Apr 25
Shooting Stars
0-0
Ikorodu City
NPFL
Nov 24
Ikorodu City
2-1
Shooting Stars
NPFL

In the last four matches between Ikorodu City and Shooting Stars, Ikorodu City has won 2, there have been 2 draws, and Shooting Stars has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive series, with two matches ending in draws and Ikorodu City managing two narrow wins, 1-0 and 2-1. The absence of any victories for Shooting Stars highlights a challenging trend for them in this matchup, especially given that they have not scored more than once in any of these encounters. Overall, the head-to-head record suggests a slight edge for Ikorodu City in recent meetings.

NPFL Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rivers United
94501321117
DDWDD
2
Enugu Rangers
8521149517
DWWLW
3
Sporting Lagos
94321311215
WWDDD
4
Plateau United
94231511414
LWLWD
5
Barau FC
9351129314
DDLDW
6
Nasarawa United
9423108214
WWDWL
9
Ikorodu City
9333119212
LWLDW
15
Shooting Stars
93241012-211
WLDDL
18
Enyimba
92251114-38
DLWWD
19
Ranchers Bees
92251013-38
LDLDL
20
Inter Lagos
9126518-132
LLDLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Ikorodu CityHome
3W1D0L
4 playedGF 7 ยท GA 12.50 pts/game
Shooting StarsAway
0W0D4L
4 playedGF 3 ยท GA 100.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
Ikorodu CityShooting Stars
1.21Goals p.g.1.19
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.26
33%Clean sheets26%
36%Win rate45%
2.45Avg goals in match2.45
Ikorodu City
Recent Form

Ikorodu City have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ikorodu City 2-0 and beat Ikorodu City 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 13L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Ikorodu CityAll competitions
18 Oct
Niger Tornadoes
2-1
Ikorodu City
NPFL
10 Oct
Ikorodu City
2-0
Kwara United
NPFL
04 Oct
Rivers United
2-0
Ikorodu City
NPFL
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0-0
Ikorodu City
NPFL
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2-0
Enugu Rangers
NPFL
23 Sept
Bendel Insurance
2-1
Ikorodu City
NPFL
12
Win
36%
8
Draw
24%
13
Lost
39%
Shooting Stars
Recent Form

Shooting Stars have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Kun Khalifat FC 2-0 and lost to Enyimba 4-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 13L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shooting StarsAll competitions
16 Oct
Shooting Stars
3-1
Ranchers Bees
NPFL
11 Oct
Kun Khalifat FC
2-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
07 Oct
Shooting Stars
0-0
Kano Pillars
NPFL
04 Oct
Shooting Stars
0-0
Nasarawa United
NPFL
30 Sept
Enyimba
4-2
Shooting Stars
NPFL
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1-0
Shooting Stars
NPFL
14
Win
45%
4
Draw
13%
13
Lost
42%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Ikorodu City

No reported absences

Shooting Stars

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.