Independ. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Independ. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
Match Preview
The model favours Independ. Rivadavia to win against Aldosivi, with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Independ. Rivadavia currently sits at the top of the Liga Profesional standings, having accumulated 34 points from 16 matches. Their season has been strong overall, with 10 wins, four draws, and only two losses. They have scored 29 goals while conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of +14, which highlights their offensive capabilities and solid defensive structure. In contrast, Aldosivi is struggling at the 14th position with just 8 points, having yet to secure a win this season. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses showcases a significant challenge in converting chances into victories. With only 6 goals scored and 19 conceded, their -13 goal difference indicates a lack of both offensive potency and defensive resilience, making them vulnerable in this matchup. The model gives Independ. Rivadavia a strong win probability, projecting a score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is their recent form, which includes only one win in the last five matches, suggesting that inconsistency could affect their performance. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Independ. Rivadavia have kept a clean sheet in 29% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.9 goals per game.
Independ. Rivadavia manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.89 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.9% probability.
Independ. Rivadavia have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Independ. Rivadavia win as the most likely scoreline at 19.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Independ. Rivadavia clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Independ. Rivadavia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Independ. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.48 | 3.80 | 7.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
| 1.43 | 4.10 | 7.80 | 2.05 | 1.74 | 2.24 | 1.56 | |
| 1.40 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.38 | 1.57 | |
| 1.46 | 4.38 | 8.11 | 2.11 | 1.79 | — | — | |
| 1.42 | 3.92 | 6.95 | 2.09 | 1.75 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.00 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.60 | |
| 1.45 | 4.10 | 8.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.46 | 4.17 | 7.90 | 2.07 | 1.76 | 2.24 | 1.58 | |
| 1.50 | 3.85 | 7.00 | 2.16 | 1.67 | 2.23 | 1.58 | |
| 1.44 | 3.90 | 7.00 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.60 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 4.25 | 8.25 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
Superbet | 1.49 | 4.15 | 7.10 | 2.12 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.59 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.20 | 7.50 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Independ. Rivadavia leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Independ. Rivadavia and Aldosivi, Independ. Rivadavia has won 6 times, Aldosivi has won once, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Independ. Rivadavia, with several narrow victories, such as 1-0 and 2-1, suggesting competitive matches. However, Aldosivi's single victory, a 3-1 win, contrasts with their overall struggle in this matchup. The last time Aldosivi won against Independ. Rivadavia was in November 2025, indicating a challenging trend for them in these encounters.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonIndepend. Rivadavia have won 14 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Atletico Tucuman 1-1 and beat Aldosivi 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 10D 6L from the last 38 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Argentinos JRS 2-1 and lost to Rosario Central 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 9D 14L from the last 27 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersIndepend. Rivadavia
No reported absences
Aldosivi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Independ. Rivadavia have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Independ. Rivadavia have generated 1.58 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Independ. Rivadavia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
