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Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan Prediction, Tips & Odds

Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 2
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWWWL
VS
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Referee: P. Dovalo
Huracan
#7 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLLWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.44
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.39 (implied 72.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 74.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.34). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (74.6% vs 72.1%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Independ. Rivadavia to win against Huracan, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. As the current league leaders, Independ. Rivadavia has demonstrated strong form this season, boasting 10 wins from 16 matches. With a goal difference of +14, their offensive capabilities are evident, having scored 29 goals while conceding 15. Their recent form includes three wins in the last five matches, underlining their consistency at the top of the table. In contrast, Huracan sits in 7th place with a total of 22 points, having secured only five wins in their 16 matches. Their goal tally is significantly lower at 17 goals scored, while they have conceded 13. Huracan's recent form has been concerning, with just one win in their last five outings. This lack of form could hinder their ability to compete effectively against the league leaders. The model indicates a high win probability for Independ. Rivadavia, with a projected score of 2-0. Despite this, one caveat is that if Huracan can tighten their defense and improve their recent performance, they may pose a challenge. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis was conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Independ. Rivadavia Win51%1.97
Draw26%2.99
Huracan Win23%4.50
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5258.1%

Independ. Rivadavia have kept a clean sheet in 31% of matches. Huracan average 1.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.3964.1%

Independ. Rivadavia manage games at home, conceding just 0.88 goals per match. Huracan score 1.09 on the road.

Correct Score
Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 Huracan
4.7121.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Independ. Rivadavia -0.5
1.9245%

Independ. Rivadavia have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
4.71
21.3%
0-0
5.73
17.5%
1-1
5.85
17.2%
2-0
7.52
13.4%
0-1
8.05
12.5%
2-1
9.11
11.1%

Our model projects a 1-0 Independ. Rivadavia win as the most likely scoreline at 21.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Independ. Rivadavia clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Independ. Rivadavia
-0.0
1.33
Huracan
+0.0
3.19
Independ. Rivadavia
-0.3
1.67
Huracan
+0.3
3.85
Independ. Rivadavia
-0.5
1.92
Huracan
+0.5
3.80
Independ. Rivadavia
-1.5
4.00
Huracan
+1.5
11.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Independ. Rivadavia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.002.964.302.881.402.351.53
Marathonbet
1.923.004.602.801.342.431.48
Betfair
1.912.904.602.881.402.301.60
Pinnacle
1.973.074.943.081.40
SBO
2.142.773.55
William Hill
1.912.884.502.381.53
Bet365
1.953.104.752.881.402.501.50
1xBet
1.953.054.682.801.342.431.50
Unibet
2.053.054.102.851.402.281.56
Betano
1.983.054.702.901.442.371.55
Superbet
1.973.104.553.001.392.471.50
BetVictor
1.933.004.753.101.362.451.47

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
Over 1.5 Goals
58.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
35.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
15.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XIndepend. Rivadavia or Draw
77%1.19
12Independ. Rivadavia or Huracan
74%1.35
X2Draw or Huracan
49%1.80

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Huracan leads 5-2)
2 Independ. Rivadavia3 Draw5 Huracan
27 Jan
Huracan
1-2
Independ. Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 25
Independ. Rivadavia
0-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Mar 25
Huracan
2-0
Independ. Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jun 24
Huracan
1-0
Independ. Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 24
Independ. Rivadavia
2-0
Huracan
Copa de la Liga Profesional
Dec 14
Huracan
4-0
Independ. Rivadavia
Primera Nacional
Oct 14
Independ. Rivadavia
1-1
Huracan
Primera Nacional
Apr 14
Independ. Rivadavia
1-2
Huracan
Primera Nacional
Oct 13
Huracan
2-2
Independ. Rivadavia
Primera Nacional
May 13
Independ. Rivadavia
0-1
Huracan
Primera Nacional

In the last 10 matches between Independ. Rivadavia and Huracan, Huracan has won 5 times, Independ. Rivadavia has won 2, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate that Huracan has had a slight edge, with several narrow victories, including a 1-0 win and a 2-0 win. However, Independ. Rivadavia has also shown the ability to secure wins, including a notable 2-0 victory against Huracan. The matches have been relatively tight, with no heavy defeats for Independ. Rivadavia in the recent encounters, though they have not won against Huracan since 2024.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
DLDWD
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LLWDW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LLLWW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
LLWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
WLDDD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
WWLWW
7
Huracan
165741713422
WLWDL
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LDDLD
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LWDWL
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LWLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Independ. RivadaviaHome
6W1D2L
9 playedGF 19 · GA 102.11 pts/game
HuracanAway
1W6D1L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 51.13 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Independ. RivadaviaHuracan
1.85Goals p.g.1.09
0.88Goals conceded p.g.0.86
31%Clean sheets36%
65%Win rate36%
2.73Avg goals in match1.95
1.32xG per game1.50
0.00xGA per game0.68
49%Possession %48%
4.4Shots on target / game4.7
5.2Corners per game4.1
Independ. Rivadavia
Recent Form

Independ. Rivadavia have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 and lost to Independ. Rivadavia 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 3L from the last 26 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Independ. RivadaviaAll competitions
26 Jul
Atletico Tucuman
0-0
Independ. Rivadavia
Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Jul
Independ. Rivadavia
1-0
Tigre
Copa Argentina
28 May
Bolívar
1-3
Independ. Rivadavia
CONMEBOL Libertadores
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2-4
Independ. Rivadavia
CONMEBOL Libertadores
10 May
Independ. Rivadavia
1-2
Union Santa Fe
Liga Profesional Argentina
07 May
Independ. Rivadavia
1-1
Fluminense
CONMEBOL Libertadores
17
Win
65%
6
Draw
23%
3
Lost
12%
Huracan
Recent Form

Huracan have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Barracas Central 1-0 and lost to Argentinos JRS 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 6L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: HuracanAll competitions
25 Jul
Huracan
1-0
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 Jun
Barracas Central
1-0
Huracan
Copa Argentina
13 May
Argentinos JRS
1-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
09 May
Boca Juniors
2-3
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 May
Racing Club
0-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Apr
Huracan
1-2
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
8
Win
36%
8
Draw
36%
6
Lost
27%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Independ. Rivadavia

No reported absences

Huracan

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.39 (64.1%)
BTTS No1.52 (58.1%)
Value Bets
Independ. Rivadavia Win1.97 (51.3%)
Draw2.99 (26%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.92 (35.9%)
Both Teams Score2.40 (41.9%)
Speculative
Huracan Win4.50 (22.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

P. Dovalo has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Independ. Rivadavia have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Huracan 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Independ. Rivadavia have generated 1.32 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Independ. Rivadavia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.