Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland Prediction, Tips & Odds
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland
Match Preview
The upcoming knockout match between Israel and the Republic of Ireland is poised to be a closely contested affair, with both teams eager to secure their place in the next stage of the UEFA Nations League. As the group stage has not yet started, this match is critical; a win means advancement, while a loss results in elimination. Israel's recent competitive form shows a mixed bag, with a notable victory over Moldova (4-1) amidst a few heavy losses against stronger teams like Italy and Norway. They appear to have the potential to score, but consistency remains a concern. In contrast, the Republic of Ireland has demonstrated a stronger recent competitive form, highlighted by victories against countries such as Portugal and Hungary, along with a solid defensive record in their last few matches. Their ability to grind out results, including several draws, suggests they can be resilient under pressure. With no key absentees reported for either side, both teams will be fielding their strongest available line-ups, which could make for an exciting and unpredictable match. However, the neutral venue may introduce an additional layer of uncertainty, as neither side will have the advantage of home support. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has evaluated this fixture using an in-house model that incorporates aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context. While specific probabilities are not available for this match, the competitive history and recent form provide a critical backdrop for what promises to be an intriguing encounter.
About the Teams
Israel
Profile data not available yet.
Rep. Of Ireland
Profile data not available yet.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.
Rep. Of Ireland have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rep. Of Ireland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.79 | 3.18 | 2.71 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.92 | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.78 | 3.19 | 2.78 | 2.12 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 2.59 | 3.06 | 2.65 | 2.09 | 1.77 | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.82 | 3.21 | 2.74 | 2.13 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.94 | |
Betano | 2.77 | 3.15 | 2.67 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Rep. Of Ireland leads 1-0)In their only competitive meeting, the Republic of Ireland has won against Israel, with a record of 0 wins for Israel and 1 win for the Republic of Ireland. This match took place recently in 2026, highlighting a current competitive context. However, with only one match in this sample, it is too small to establish any significant trend or pattern between the two teams. The sole encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for the Republic of Ireland, but without more matches, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonIsrael have won 2 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rep. Of Ireland 0-3 and beat Moldova 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 5L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rep. Of Ireland have won 2 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rep. Of Ireland 0-3 and lost to Kosovo 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 3L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedIsrael4-2-3-1Confirmed
Rep. Of Ireland3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersIsrael
No reported absences
Rep. Of Ireland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Harm Osmers has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Israel have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Rep. Of Ireland 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rep. Of Ireland have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rep. Of Ireland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.