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Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem Prediction, Tips & Odds

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5
Kortrijk
#18 · Jupiler Pro League
LLLDL
0 - 2
Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Referee: J. Vergoote
Zulte Waregem
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
DWDWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 65.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.3% vs 62.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Zulte Waregem to win this match against Kortrijk, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Zulte Waregem currently sits in third place in the Jupiler Pro League standings, having secured two wins and one draw from their first three matches. They have scored six goals and conceded just one, demonstrating a strong defensive record alongside effective attacking play. Their positive goal difference of five indicates their ability to control matches effectively. In contrast, Kortrijk is struggling at the bottom of the table in 17th place with no points from their opening two games. They have yet to find the back of the net, having conceded six goals, which highlights significant defensive issues. Their recent form shows just one win in the last five matches, further illustrating their challenges this season. The model suggests a high win probability for Zulte Waregem, reflecting their solid start to the season. However, one caveat is that if Kortrijk can improve their defensive performance and find their attacking rhythm, they could pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Kortrijk Win29%3.09
Draw23%3.45
Zulte Waregem Win48%2.17
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5961.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7359.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Kortrijk 1-1 Zulte Waregem
6.2016.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Zulte Waregem -0.0
1.6342%

Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.20
16.2%
1-2
7.97
12.7%
0-1
8.26
12.2%
2-1
9.79
10.4%
1-0
10.16
10.0%
0-2
10.63
9.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Kortrijk
-0.0
2.23
Zulte Waregem
+0.0
1.63
Kortrijk
-0.3
2.82
Zulte Waregem
+0.3
1.87
Kortrijk
-0.5
3.08
Zulte Waregem
+0.5
2.05
Kortrijk
-1.5
6.00
Zulte Waregem
+1.5
3.75

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Zulte Waregem are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.883.502.301.802.001.602.15
Marathonbet
3.063.442.201.742.051.582.20
Betfair
3.003.602.001.652.20
Pinnacle
3.203.582.261.792.10
SBO
2.883.142.06
William Hill
3.003.302.201.622.20
Bet365
3.103.302.151.752.051.622.20
1xBet
3.133.522.251.762.081.582.23
Unibet
3.303.502.061.702.101.562.25
Betano
3.303.502.151.722.181.572.30
Superbet
3.253.552.171.712.151.592.32
BetVictor
3.003.502.201.721.971.602.20

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
59.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XKortrijk or Draw
52%1.66
12Kortrijk or Zulte Waregem
78%1.28
X2Draw or Zulte Waregem
71%1.34

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Kortrijk leads 4-2)
4 Kortrijk4 Draw2 Zulte Waregem
Feb 23
Zulte Waregem
3-3
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22
Kortrijk
1-3
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Feb 22
Kortrijk
5-0
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Sept 21
Zulte Waregem
2-2
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
Feb 21
Kortrijk
1-2
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Nov 20
Zulte Waregem
1-1
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
Feb 20
Zulte Waregem
2-2
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
Oct 19
Kortrijk
2-0
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Dec 18
Kortrijk
4-2
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
Sept 18
Zulte Waregem
0-2
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League

In the last 10 matches between Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem, Kortrijk has won 4 times, Zulte Waregem has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws, including a high-scoring 3-3 encounter earlier this year. Kortrijk has recorded some significant victories, such as a 5-0 win, suggesting they can dominate at times. Zulte Waregem's last win in this fixture was in October 2022, indicating a slight struggle to secure victories against Kortrijk recently. Overall, the matchup shows a balance with moments of clear advantage for Kortrijk.

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Gent
5500102815
WWWWW
2
Union St. Gilloise
54101431113
WWWDW
3
Club Brugge KV
540192712
WLWWW
4
Charleroi
5401115612
LWWWW
5
Zulte Waregem
5320103711
WDWDW
6
Standard Liege
5320106411
WWWDD
16
RAAL La Louvière
5014412-81
LDLLL
17
OH Leuven
5005212-100
LLLLL
18
Kortrijk
5005112-110
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
KortrijkHome
0W0D3L
3 playedGF 1 · GA 80.00 pts/game
Zulte WaregemAway
1W2D0L
3 playedGF 4 · GA 21.67 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KortrijkZulte Waregem
1.74Goals p.g.2.11
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.46
16%Clean sheets25%
37%Win rate54%
3.21Avg goals in match3.57
0.46xG per game
0.50xGA per game
42%Possession %
1.0Shots on target / game
2.0Corners per game
Kortrijk
Recent Form

Kortrijk have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Zulte Waregem 0-2 and lost to Charleroi 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 9L from the last 19 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: KortrijkAll competitions
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0-2
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1-0
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1-3
Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League
08 Aug
Kortrijk
1-1
Club Brugge II
Friendlies Clubs
07 Aug
Club Brugge KV
3-0
Kortrijk
Jupiler Pro League
01 Aug
Kortrijk
1-2
Reims
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
37%
3
Draw
16%
9
Lost
47%
Zulte Waregem
Recent Form

Zulte Waregem have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Zulte Waregem 2-2 and drew with Beerschot VA 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 9L from the last 28 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Zulte WaregemAll competitions
30 Aug
KVC Westerlo
2-2
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League
22 Aug
Zulte Waregem
4-0
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League
01 Aug
Beerschot VA
2-2
Zulte Waregem
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
Zulte Waregem
3-2
Sparta Rotterdam
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Zulte Waregem
1-1
AZ Alkmaar
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Zulte Waregem
2-1
Kryvbas KR
Friendlies Clubs
15
Win
54%
4
Draw
14%
9
Lost
32%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kortrijk

No reported absences

Zulte Waregem

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (59.1%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (61.6%)
Value Bets
Kortrijk Win3.09 (29.2%)
Zulte Waregem Win2.17 (48.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (40.9%)
BTTS No2.23 (38.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (22.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Vergoote has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Kortrijk average 1.7 goals per match at home; Zulte Waregem 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. Zulte Waregem player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.