Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II Prediction, Tips & Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II
Match Preview
The model favours Leevon / PPK to win against Rīgas FS II, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Leevon / PPK is currently positioned third in the league, boasting an impressive record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and just 2 losses from 19 matches, with a goal difference of +15. Their recent form is particularly strong, having won their last five matches, which highlights their attacking prowess, as they have scored 36 goals this season while conceding only 21. On the other hand, Rīgas FS II finds themselves in a challenging position, sitting 10th in the standings with only 4 wins from 19 matches. Their season has been marred by inconsistency, reflected in their goal difference of -24, having conceded 52 goals while scoring just 28. Their recent form, with one win and four losses in their last five matches, indicates a struggle to find stability and build momentum. The model assigns Leevon / PPK a win probability of 65%, with a projected score of 3-1. However, the caveat is that if Rīgas FS II manages to exploit any defensive lapses from Leevon / PPK, they could pose a threat. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Rīgas FS II leads 3-1)In the last four matches between Leevon / PPK and Rīgas FS II, the record stands at one win for Leevon / PPK and three wins for Rīgas FS II. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with two matches decided by a single goal, reflecting tight contests. Leevon / PPK's sole victory was a narrow 2-1 win, while Rīgas FS II's wins include a 2-1 and a 1-0, showing they have managed to edge out their opponents in close matches. There have been no draws, suggesting a clear outcome in each encounter.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 15 | LLWLL |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLeevon / PPK have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Leevon / PPK 2-1 and beat Leevon / PPK 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 6L from the last 33 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga Mariners 3-1 and lost to Metta / LU 12-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 16L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLeevon / PPK
No reported absences
Rīgas FS II
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.