Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

LNZ Cherkasy vs Gent Prediction, Tips & Odds

LNZ Cherkasy vs Gent

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
LNZ Cherkasy
DLDWW
0 - 0
Orlen Stadion
Referee: G. Maqedonci
Gent
DDLWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 (implied 60.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 62.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.59). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.9% vs 60.4%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours LNZ Cherkasy to win against Gent, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. LNZ Cherkasy has shown a mixed form in their last five matches, securing three wins but also facing two losses. This demonstrates their potential to perform well in crucial fixtures, particularly at home where they can leverage their support. On the other hand, Gent has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five matches, alongside three draws and one loss. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to compete effectively in this knockout stage, especially away from home. Their recent performances suggest they might find it challenging to break down a spirited LNZ Cherkasy side. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for LNZ Cherkasy, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to consider is the likelihood of LNZ Cherkasy scoring multiple goals, given their recent goal-scoring form. However, a potential caveat is that if Gent can improve their defensive organization, they may stifle LNZ Cherkasy’s attacking efforts. For a comprehensive understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
LNZ Cherkasy Win35%3.83
Draw25%3.20
Gent Win41%1.96
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7952.9%

LNZ Cherkasy have kept a clean sheet in 53% of matches. Gent average 1.5 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6658.3%

LNZ Cherkasy manage games at home, conceding just 0.60 goals per match. Gent score 1.48 on the road.

Correct Score
LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Gent
5.7617.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Gent -0.0
1.4235%

Gent have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.76
17.5%
0-1
5.86
17.2%
0-0
7.64
13.2%
1-2
7.79
13.0%
0-2
8.04
12.5%
1-0
8.82
11.4%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
LNZ Cherkasy
-0.0
2.74
Gent
+0.0
1.42
LNZ Cherkasy
-0.3
2.82
Gent
+0.3
1.65
LNZ Cherkasy
-0.5
3.58
Gent
+0.5
1.89
LNZ Cherkasy
-1.5
8.50
Gent
+1.5
3.75

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Gent are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

LNZ Cherkasy vs Gent
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.803.201.952.151.651.901.75
Marathonbet
3.883.161.982.191.641.921.77
Betfair
3.753.251.911.951.751.751.95
Pinnacle
4.013.132.022.281.64
William Hill
3.803.002.001.951.80
Bet365
3.503.201.912.151.672.001.73
1xBet
3.893.181.992.191.641.931.78
Unibet
4.103.351.862.061.661.881.79
Betano
4.003.251.912.121.671.931.78
Superbet
3.603.202.022.201.601.951.76
BetVictor
3.803.252.002.101.631.931.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
41.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
24.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLNZ Cherkasy or Draw
59%1.76
12LNZ Cherkasy or Gent
75%1.29
X2Draw or Gent
66%1.23

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 LNZ Cherkasy1 Draw0 Gent
23 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0-0
Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between LNZ Cherkasy and Gent shows 0 wins for LNZ Cherkasy, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Gent. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a closely matched contest with neither side able to secure a victory. The lack of goals suggests a tight defensive battle, and it has been a while since either team has faced the other in a competitive setting, making it difficult to assess any recent trends from this limited sample.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LNZ CherkasyGent
1.13Goals p.g.1.48
0.6Goals conceded p.g.1.28
53%Clean sheets31%
40%Win rate31%
1.73Avg goals in match2.76
xG per game1.30
xGA per game0.52
Possession %47%
Shots on target / game1.7
Corners per game5.0
LNZ Cherkasy
Recent Form

LNZ Cherkasy have won 1 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Gent 0-0 and lost to Göztepe 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 4L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LNZ CherkasyAll competitions
23 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0-0
Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0-2
Göztepe
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Dinamo Zagreb
0-0
LNZ Cherkasy
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Olimpija Ljubljana
0-1
LNZ Cherkasy
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
0-4
LNZ Cherkasy
Friendlies Clubs
05 Jul
Koper
1-2
LNZ Cherkasy
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
40%
5
Draw
33%
4
Lost
27%
Gent
Recent Form

Gent have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Gent 0-0 and drew with Twente 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 9L from the last 29 games (31% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: GentAll competitions
23 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0-0
Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Twente
2-2
Gent
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Kryvbas KR
2-1
Gent
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Gent
4-0
SK Beveren
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3-3
Gent
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1-6
Gent
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
31%
11
Draw
38%
9
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

LNZ Cherkasy

No reported absences

Gent

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.66 (58.3%)
Value Bets
LNZ Cherkasy Win3.83 (34.5%)
Gent Win1.96 (40.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.14 (41.7%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (47.1%)
BTTS No1.79 (52.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.20 (24.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

G. Maqedonci has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by G. Maqedonci to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

LNZ Cherkasy average 1.1 goals per match at home; Gent 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Gent have generated 1.30 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 1.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gent player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.