Lyngby vs Sonderjyske Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske
Match Preview
The model favours Lyngby to win against Sonderjyske, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Lyngby currently sits in 11th place in the Superliga standings after six matches, having managed three draws and three losses. Their goal difference stands at -4, with seven goals scored and eleven conceded. Although they have yet to secure a win this season, their form shows some resilience, with one win and two draws in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sonderjyske is at the bottom of the table in 12th place after five games, with a record of no wins, one draw, and four losses. They have scored only four goals while conceding ten, resulting in a goal difference of -6. Their recent form is concerning, as they have lost all four of their last matches, indicating struggles in both attack and defence. The model indicates a win probability of 57% for Lyngby, with a projected score of 2-1. However, it is essential to consider that if Sonderjyske manages to find their form or if Lyngby fails to convert their chances, the outcome could shift. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilises an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Lyngby have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Lyngby win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Lyngby are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 1.60 | 4.15 | 4.85 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.64 | 4.36 | 5.04 | 1.57 | 2.51 | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 3.73 | 4.43 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.62 | 4.15 | 4.78 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.90 | 1.49 | 2.55 | 1.53 | 2.32 | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.15 | 4.90 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 1.66 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 2.32 | 1.64 | 2.17 |
BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sonderjyske leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Lyngby and Sonderjyske, Sonderjyske has won 6 times, Lyngby has won once, and there have been 3 draws. This record indicates a clear advantage for Sonderjyske, particularly highlighted by their heavy 5-1 victory in the most recent encounter. The scorelines suggest that while Sonderjyske has secured several narrow wins, they have also achieved significant margins, with multiple matches ending in 2-0. Lyngby's sole win came back in March 2021, and they have struggled to find success against Sonderjyske in recent meetings.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Lyngby | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLyngby have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lyngby 1-1 and drew with Lyngby 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 2D 5L from the last 17 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sonderjyske have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Thisted FC 0-2 and lost to FC Copenhagen 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 15L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedLyngby4-4-2Confirmed
Sonderjyske4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersLyngby
No reported absences
Sonderjyske
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Lyngby have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Sonderjyske 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lyngby have generated 2.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lyngby player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
