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Malisheva vs Vllaznia Shkodër Prediction, Tips & Odds

Malisheva vs Vllaznia Shkodër

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round
Malisheva
WWLWL
5 - 0
Stadiumi Zahir Pajaziti, Podujeve
Referee: T. Owen
Vllaznia Shkodër
WLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.85
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 (implied 57.2%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 59.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.67). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.7% vs 57.2%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Malisheva to win against Vllaznia Shkodër, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite the lack of detailed season standings, Malisheva's recent form shows a positive trend, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This suggests they are capable of competing effectively, particularly in home fixtures. On the other hand, Vllaznia Shkodër has struggled significantly in their recent outings, managing just one win and suffering four losses in their last five matches. This poor form could indicate deeper issues within the team, making it challenging for them to turn things around in this crucial fixture. According to our model, Malisheva has a strong win probability, with a projected score of 2-1, and a key market percentage supporting their victory. However, one potential caveat is that if Vllaznia Shkodër can find a way to halt their losing streak and perform at their best, they may pose a greater challenge than their recent form suggests. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Malisheva Win57%1.71
Draw21%3.68
Vllaznia Shkodër Win22%4.21
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7056.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7557.9%

Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Malisheva 1-1 Vllaznia Shkodër
6.7215.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Malisheva -1.5
3.0037%

Malisheva have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.72
15.0%
1-0
6.97
14.4%
2-1
7.30
13.8%
2-0
7.99
12.6%
0-0
10.87
9.4%
0-1
11.79
8.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Malisheva clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Malisheva
-0.0
1.30
Vllaznia Shkodër
+0.0
3.28
Malisheva
-0.5
1.68
Vllaznia Shkodër
+0.5
4.10
Malisheva
-1.5
3.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Malisheva are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Malisheva vs Vllaznia Shkodër
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.733.704.001.771.951.701.95
Marathonbet
1.713.844.301.722.061.672.05
Betfair
1.703.604.201.732.001.732.00
Pinnacle
1.673.794.141.692.06
SBO
1.823.153.531.851.93
William Hill
1.753.504.331.622.20
Bet365
1.653.704.201.802.001.801.91
1xBet
1.733.844.281.722.061.672.08
Betano
1.653.854.601.752.021.751.98
Superbet
1.713.754.301.722.001.702.05
BetVictor
1.733.754.401.721.971.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
32.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XMalisheva or Draw
78%1.18
12Malisheva or Vllaznia Shkodër
79%1.22
X2Draw or Vllaznia Shkodër
43%2.02

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Malisheva leads 1-0)
1 Malisheva0 Draw0 Vllaznia Shkodër
09 Jul
Vllaznia Shkodër
0-1
Malisheva
UEFA Europa Conference League

Malisheva leads the head-to-head record against Vllaznia Shkodër with 1 win and no draws or losses in their only past encounter. The match ended with a narrow scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Malisheva, indicating a tightly contested game. Vllaznia Shkodër has not won against Malisheva in this matchup, and the lack of draws suggests that when these teams meet, one side typically prevails.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
MalishevaVllaznia Shkodër
2.15Goals p.g.1.09
1.23Goals conceded p.g.2.18
31%Clean sheets9%
62%Win rate18%
3.38Avg goals in match3.27
Malisheva
Recent Form

Malisheva have won 6 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hibernian 2-0 and beat Vllaznia Shkodër 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 4L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: MalishevaAll competitions
23 Jul
Malisheva
2-0
Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League
15 Jul
Malisheva
5-0
Vllaznia Shkodër
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Vllaznia Shkodër
2-1
Malisheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
31 May
Malisheva
3-2
Drita
Superliga
24 May
Llapi
3-2
Malisheva
Superliga
17 May
Malisheva
4-1
Drenica Skënderaj
Superliga
8
Win
62%
1
Draw
8%
4
Lost
31%
Vllaznia Shkodër
Recent Form

Vllaznia Shkodër have won 0 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 and lost to Arges Pitesti 5-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 1D 8L from the last 11 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Vllaznia ShkodërAll competitions
09 Jul
Vllaznia Shkodër
2-1
Malisheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-1
Vllaznia Shkodër
Friendlies Clubs
29 Jun
Arges Pitesti
5-2
Vllaznia Shkodër
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Koper
4-2
Vllaznia Shkodër
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Olimpija Ljubljana
4-0
Vllaznia Shkodër
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jun
Vllaznia Shkodër
1-1
Dečić
Friendlies Clubs
2
Win
18%
1
Draw
9%
8
Lost
73%

Lineups

Confirmed

Malisheva4-3-3Confirmed

2Arlind VeliuDEF
20Arber PiraDEF
55Kesli ShaniDEF
5Dreni KryeziuDEF
99Dzemal IbishiFWD
1Ilir AvdyliGK
30Donart VitijaMID
10Laurent XhylaniMID
17Vüsal İsgändärliMID
7Kreshnik UkaMID
6Besnik FeratiMID
33Redjep MuratiDEF
3Omer BajraktariDEF
9Krenar DulajFWD
22Etnik KryeziuFWD
23Enes MorinaGK
25Adnan KanurićGK
14Korab LumaMID
8Mark BushajMID
19Emir ZogajMID
4Ardian SopajMID
18Valjmir NafiuMID

Vllaznia Shkodër4-2-3-1Confirmed

4Jasmin ČelikovićDEF
2Erdenis GurishtaDEF
29Emiljano MustaDEF
3Gledjan PusiDEF
11Edon MuratajFWD
22Rrok TomaFWD
9Bekim BalajFWD
12Aron JukajGK
6Cristian DrosMID
40Ensar TafiliMID
25Klinti QatoMID
66Simon UldedajDEF
44Sokol UldedajFWD
70Klajti HaliliFWD
27Gerald KubaziFWD
19Aris AraFWD
31Rezart BunjajGK
80Xhoel HajdariMID
30Amer KthupiMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Malisheva

No reported absences

Vllaznia Shkodër

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Malisheva Win1.71 (57.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (57.9%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (56.9%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (42.1%)
BTTS No2.03 (43.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (21%)
Vllaznia Shkodër Win4.21 (21.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

T. Owen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by T. Owen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Malisheva average 2.1 goals per match at home; Vllaznia Shkodër 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Malisheva have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 62% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. Malisheva player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.