Manchester United vs AS Roma Prediction, Tips & Odds
Manchester United vs AS Roma
Match Preview
The model favours AS Roma to win this match against Manchester United, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. AS Roma currently sits in 13th place in the league standings, having played three matches this season. With one win, one draw, and one loss, they have scored eight goals, showcasing a strong attacking presence, while conceding five. Their recent form of two wins and two draws in their last five matches indicates a team that is finding its rhythm. In contrast, Manchester United is struggling in 18th place after two matches, with one win and one loss. They have managed to score four goals but have also conceded two, resulting in a positive goal difference. However, their recent form is concerning, as they have not secured a win in their last five matches, resulting in three draws and two losses. This lack of momentum could hinder their performance against a more stable AS Roma side. The model gives AS Roma a win probability of around 60%, suggesting they have a solid chance to take all three points. However, Manchester United could exploit home advantage, which may skew the outcome. As always, the full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to provide accurate forecasts.
Head to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Manchester United and AS Roma stands at one win for each team and no draws over their last two matches. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Manchester United winning 6-2 in their first meeting and AS Roma responding with a close 3-2 victory in the second. This suggests that while both teams have secured victories, the matches have featured high-scoring encounters, highlighting a competitive edge. No team has dominated the other, as both sides have claimed equal success in recent history.
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | DWW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonManchester United have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Manchester United 1-1 and lost to Manchester United 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 9L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
AS Roma have won 7 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with AS Roma 3-3 and drew with Como 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 12D 8L from the last 38 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersManchester United
No reported absences
AS Roma
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
