RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc
Match Preview
The model favours RB Bragantino to win against Chapecoense-sc, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Bragantino currently sits in 9th place in the Serie A standings with 40 points from 30 matches, showcasing a solid offensive and defensive record with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. Despite their recent form of one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five matches, they remain a competitive side, particularly against a struggling opponent. In contrast, Chapecoense-sc finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having earned just 18 points from 29 matches. Their season has been challenging, with only three wins and a concerning goal difference of -31, having conceded 61 goals. Their recent form is equally troubling, with no wins in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in both attack and defense. The model gives RB Bragantino a strong win probability, reflecting their position and overall capability compared to Chapecoense-sc. However, a caveat exists; if Bragantino's recent struggles continue, or if Chapecoense-sc manages to capitalize on any defensive lapses, the outcome may not align with expectations. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
RB Bragantino have kept a clean sheet in 29% of matches. Chapecoense-sc average 1.0 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
RB Bragantino have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 RB Bragantino win as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature RB Bragantino clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. RB Bragantino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.28 | 5.25 | 9.70 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
| 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.31 | 5.56 | 10.20 | 1.59 | 2.42 | 1.89 | 1.81 | |
Betano | 1.34 | 5.30 | 8.75 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 9.50 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (RB Bragantino leads 3-1)In the last five matches between RB Bragantino and Chapecoense, the record stands at RB Bragantino 3 wins, 1 draw, and Chapecoense 1 win. The scorelines indicate a somewhat competitive history, with two matches decided by a single goal and one match ending in a draw. However, RB Bragantino has achieved two decisive victories, including a 3-0 win, highlighting their capability for heavier scoring. Chapecoense's last win over RB Bragantino came in September 2021, suggesting a recent trend favoring the former. Overall, while the matches have shown moments of closeness, RB Bragantino has the upper hand.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Bragantino have won 12 of their last 25 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat RB Bragantino 4-2 and drew with RB Bragantino 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 15D 16L from the last 48 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Chapecoense-sc have won 5 of their last 28 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 17. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Chapecoense-sc 1-0 and lost to Vitoria 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 14D 24L from the last 51 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRB Bragantino
No reported absences
Chapecoense-sc
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
RB Bragantino have averaged 7.8 corners per match at home; Chapecoense-sc 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Bragantino have generated 1.62 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 7.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Bragantino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
