Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Prediction, Tips & Odds
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Match Preview
The model favours Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes has shown strong form recently, winning four of their last five matches. This consistency is crucial as they head into this qualifying round. Their recent success highlights a solid attacking capability, which will be key against Mornar. On the other hand, Mornar has also demonstrated a decent run of form, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While their performance has been commendable, it may not be enough to overcome the momentum Atlètic Club d'Escaldes brings into this fixture. Mornar will need to ensure they can convert their chances and tighten their defence to compete effectively. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, reflecting their recent form and overall performance metrics. However, a potential pitfall for them could be complacency, particularly if they underestimate Mornar's capabilities. For a deeper understanding of how this prediction was formed, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Mornar have kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes average 1.8 goals per game.
Mornar manage games at home, conceding just 0.50 goals per match. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes score 1.75 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.2% probability.
Mornar have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Mornar win as the most likely scoreline at 20.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Mornar clean sheets, in line with their 60% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Mornar are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.48 | 3.75 | 6.25 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | |
| 1.51 | 3.82 | 6.45 | 2.12 | 1.68 | 2.16 | 1.60 | |
| 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.55 | 1.45 | |
| 1.49 | 3.78 | 6.35 | 2.14 | 1.68 | — | — | |
| 1.49 | 3.45 | 5.32 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 3.60 | 6.00 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.53 | 3.82 | 6.33 | 2.12 | 1.68 | 2.16 | 1.62 | |
| 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.40 | 2.06 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.58 | |
Betano | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.30 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.57 |
Superbet | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.70 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.22 | 1.59 |
BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between Mornar and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes has won 1 match, with Mornar yet to secure a victory or a draw. The only encounter ended with a score of 2-1 in favor of Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, indicating a relatively close match. This suggests that while Atlètic Club d'Escaldes emerged victorious, the contest was not one-sided, and Mornar was able to score, albeit in a losing effort. There have been no recent fixtures to suggest a shift in this dynamic.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMornar have won 1 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Mornar 0-0 and beat Mornar 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 1L from the last 10 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have won 2 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 4-0 and beat Mornar 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 2D 3L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMornar
No reported absences
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Jones has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Jones to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Mornar average 1.0 goals per match at home; Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Mornar have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.0 goals per game. Mornar player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
