Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction, Tips & Odds
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win this match against Columbus Crew, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nashville currently sits at the top of the league standings, having accumulated 40 points from 18 matches with a record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses. Their offensive strength is evident with 35 goals scored, while their defence has been solid, conceding just 14 times, giving them a goal difference of +21. This strong performance positions them as clear favourites heading into this matchup. On the other hand, Columbus Crew finds themselves in 11th place, with a record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, resulting in 20 points. While they have shown some form recently, winning three of their last five matches, their overall season statistics indicate challenges, particularly in defence, where they have conceded 28 goals. Their goal difference of -2 highlights the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign thus far. The model output indicates a high win probability for Nashville SC. However, one caveat is that if Columbus Crew can capitalise on any defensive lapses from Nashville, they could pose a threat. The full methodology, which includes an in-house model analysing expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Nashville SC clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.81 | 3.80 | 3.95 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.67 | 3.92 | 4.60 | 1.73 | 2.07 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.69 | 4.15 | 4.92 | 1.77 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 3.65 | 4.41 | 1.72 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.40 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.66 | 2.17 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.70 | 4.20 | 5.10 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.02 |
Superbet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.76 | 2.07 | 1.74 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.80 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nashville SC leads 5-2)In the last ten matches between Nashville SC and Columbus Crew, Nashville SC has won 5 times, with 3 draws and 2 victories for Columbus Crew. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive history, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and moderate wins. Notably, Nashville SC has secured three wins by a margin of two goals or more, while Columbus Crew's wins have been by single-goal margins. The most recent match saw Nashville SC winning 1-0, and it has been some time since Columbus Crew last claimed victory against Nashville SC, indicating a slight edge for the latter in recent encounters.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 46 | WWDLW |
| 1 |  Houston Dynamo | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 39 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 37 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 35 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 34 | LLDWW |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 20 | LLDWL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 20 | WDDLL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 18 | WWLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 15 | DLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNashville SC have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nashville SC 4-1 and beat Nashville SC 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 8D 7L from the last 33 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Columbus Crew have won 3 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Charlotte 3-1 and drew with Inter Miami 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersNashville SC1
Columbus Crew4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Nashville SC have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Columbus Crew 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 1.19 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
