NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction, Tips & Odds
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans
Match Preview
The model favours NSI Runavik to win against Hamrun Spartans, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. NSI Runavik has shown strong form recently, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This positive trend suggests they are building momentum, crucial for their confidence heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Hamrun Spartans have had mixed results in their recent matches, securing three wins but also suffering two losses. This inconsistency could hinder their performance as they face a side that is currently on an upward trajectory. The Spartans will need to find a way to stabilize their form if they hope to challenge effectively. According to the model, NSI Runavik has a higher win probability, reflecting their recent performances. However, it is important to note that unexpected fluctuations can occur in knockout competitions, and an off day for Runavik could shift the outcome. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
NSI Runavik have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 NSI Runavik win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature NSI Runavik clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. NSI Runavik are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.80 | |
| 2.00 | 3.38 | 3.54 | 2.11 | 1.69 | 1.86 | 1.82 | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.01 | 3.24 | 3.41 | 2.13 | 1.67 | — | — | |
| 1.93 | 2.95 | 3.43 | 2.21 | 1.60 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.02 | 3.38 | 3.54 | 2.11 | 1.69 | 1.86 | 1.84 | |
| 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.89 | |
| 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.55 | 2.07 | 1.70 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
Superbet | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between NSI Runavik and Hamrun Spartans shows 0 wins for NSI Runavik, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Hamrun Spartans. The only match played ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a tightly contested encounter with neither team able to secure a victory. The scoreline suggests a balanced match, with both sides finding the net, but no clear dominance from either team. Since there has only been one meeting, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the historical data reflects a closely matched rivalry thus far.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNSI Runavik have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Koper 0-2 and drew with Hamrun Spartans 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 3L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hamrun Spartans have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Hamrun Spartans 1-1 and beat Valletta FC 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 1D 6L from the last 11 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNSI Runavik
No reported absences
Hamrun Spartans
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
NSI Runavik average 1.9 goals per match at home; Hamrun Spartans 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
NSI Runavik have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. NSI Runavik player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
