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NSI Runavik vs Koper Prediction, Tips & Odds

NSI Runavik vs Koper

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
NSI Runavik
LWDDD
0 - 2
Referee: I. Bosca
Koper
DWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 (implied 60.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.60). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.7% vs 60.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours NSI Runavik in this matchup, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. NSI Runavik has shown resilience in their recent performances, going unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. This consistency suggests a solid foundation as they approach this fixture, especially considering their ability to secure results under pressure. On the other hand, Koper's form has been more erratic, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. While they have managed to secure victories, the losses indicate vulnerabilities that NSI Runavik may exploit. Koper's inconsistency could be a significant factor, especially in a knockout setting where pressure can lead to mistakes. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for NSI Runavik, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that the odds of NSI Runavik winning by a one-goal margin are quite favourable. However, a potential caveat is that if Koper finds their rhythm early in the match, they could disrupt Runavik’s plans and shift momentum in their favour. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been prepared by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
NSI Runavik Win37%2.89
Draw23%3.40
Koper Win40%2.21
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6658.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8155.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
NSI Runavik 1-1 Koper
6.0016.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Koper -0.0
1.6834%

Koper have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.00
16.8%
0-1
7.70
13.1%
1-2
8.04
12.6%
1-0
8.93
11.3%
2-1
9.45
10.7%
0-0
10.01
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
NSI Runavik
-0.0
2.09
Koper
+0.0
1.68
NSI Runavik
-0.3
2.40
Koper
+0.3
1.98
NSI Runavik
-0.5
3.05
Koper
+0.5
1.98
NSI Runavik
-1.5
6.00
Koper
+1.5
4.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Koper are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

NSI Runavik vs Koper
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.823.402.281.851.901.672.00
Marathonbet
2.853.482.271.831.931.652.08
Betfair
2.803.402.201.801.911.652.10
Pinnacle
2.793.552.211.841.95
SBO
3.023.011.981.831.93
William Hill
2.753.302.301.672.10
Bet365
2.753.252.251.851.951.732.00
1xBet
2.863.482.291.831.931.652.11
Unibet
3.003.602.101.741.941.642.08
Betano
2.823.452.301.801.951.652.10
Superbet
3.353.502.001.771.951.662.10
BetVictor
2.903.402.301.801.871.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XNSI Runavik or Draw
60%1.60
12NSI Runavik or Koper
77%1.26
X2Draw or Koper
63%1.35

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 NSI Runavik1 Draw0 Koper
23 Jul
NSI Runavik
0-0
Koper
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between NSI Runavik and Koper stands at 0 wins for NSI Runavik, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Koper. Their only meeting resulted in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to find the net. This suggests that both teams have struggled to assert dominance in their encounters, leading to a lack of scoring. Given the single fixture, there is insufficient data to determine any clear trends or patterns in their historical matchups.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
NSI RunavikKoper
1.92Goals p.g.1.92
1.23Goals conceded p.g.1.17
38%Clean sheets42%
54%Win rate67%
3.15Avg goals in match3.08
NSI Runavik
Recent Form

NSI Runavik have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Koper 0-2 and drew with Hamrun Spartans 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 3L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: NSI RunavikAll competitions
23 Jul
NSI Runavik
0-2
Koper
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Hamrun Spartans
1-2
NSI Runavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1-1
Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
03 Jul
NSI Runavik
0-0
KI Klaksvik
Meistaradeildin
29 Jun
Vikingur Gota
3-3
NSI Runavik
Meistaradeildin
24 Jun
NSI Runavik
2-0
KI Klaksvik
Løgmanssteypid
7
Win
54%
3
Draw
23%
3
Lost
23%
Koper
Recent Form

Koper have won 4 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat NSI Runavik 0-2 and beat Nafta 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KoperAll competitions
26 Jul
Koper
2-2
Radomlje
1. SNL
23 Jul
NSI Runavik
0-2
Koper
UEFA Europa Conference League
17 Jul
Nafta
0-2
Koper
1. SNL
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1-3
Koper
Friendlies Clubs
08 Jul
Dinamo Zagreb
4-2
Koper
Friendlies Clubs
05 Jul
Koper
1-2
LNZ Cherkasy
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
67%
1
Draw
8%
3
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

NSI Runavik

No reported absences

Koper

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (55%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (58.3%)
Value Bets
NSI Runavik Win2.89 (37%)
Koper Win2.21 (40.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (45%)
BTTS No2.08 (41.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.40 (22.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

I. Bosca has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by I. Bosca to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

NSI Runavik average 1.9 goals per match at home; Koper 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Koper have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 67% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Koper player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.