OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction, Tips & Odds
OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière
Match Preview
The model favours RAAL La Louvière to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Despite both teams struggling early in the season, La Louvière has shown slightly better form, managing to secure a draw and scoring more goals than OH Leuven. OH Leuven currently sits at the bottom of the standings in 17th place, having lost all five of their matches. Their offensive struggles are evident, with only two goals scored and twelve conceded, leading to a goal difference of -10. This lack of scoring ability will be a significant factor as they face a team that, while also not performing well, has at least managed to find the net more frequently. RAAL La Louvière holds 16th place with one point from five matches, having drawn once and lost four times. They have scored four goals, which, while still concerning, is an improvement over Leuven's tally. Their goal difference of -8 indicates that they have been more competitive in matches, and they will look to build on that in this encounter. The model gives La Louvière a win probability of approximately 55%, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is that both teams are under pressure, and a slip could lead to an unpredictable outcome. The full method for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
OH Leuven have been the stronger side, winning 26% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature OH Leuven clean sheets, in line with their 26% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. OH Leuven are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.06 | 3.26 | 3.54 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.14 | 3.37 | 3.72 | 1.99 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 2.04 | 3.01 | 3.05 | 1.95 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.10 | 3.36 | 3.64 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
Betano | 2.07 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (RAAL La Louvière leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between OH Leuven and RAAL La Louvière stands at 0 wins for OH Leuven, 1 draw, and 1 win for RAAL La Louvière. The recent encounters suggest a competitive dynamic, with one match ending in a goalless draw and the other resulting in a narrow victory for RAAL La Louvière, 2-1. This indicates that the matchups have been relatively tight, reflecting a balanced contest rather than one-sided affairs. Notably, OH Leuven has yet to secure a win against RAAL La Louvière in the last two fixtures.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOH Leuven have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to OH Leuven 1-2 and lost to OH Leuven 3-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
RAAL La Louvière have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to RAAL La Louvière 4-0 and lost to Standard Liege 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 10D 13L from the last 28 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedOH Leuven3-4-3Confirmed
RAAL La Louvière5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersOH Leuven
No reported absences
RAAL La Louvière
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jasper Vergoote has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jasper Vergoote to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
OH Leuven average 1.4 goals per match at home; RAAL La Louvière 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
OH Leuven have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 26% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. OH Leuven player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
