Osasuna vs Racing Santander Prediction, Tips & Odds
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
Match Preview
The model favours Osasuna to win against Racing Santander, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Osasuna currently sits in 13th place with 8 points from 7 matches, having secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their goal difference of -7 highlights defensive vulnerabilities, but they have shown some resilience with a recent win. The team's attacking issues are evident with just 6 goals scored this season, which they will need to improve upon to climb the standings. On the other hand, Racing Santander is positioned 16th with 7 points, having also played 7 games. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, coupled with a goal difference of -10, indicates struggles both defensively and offensively. Despite showing some signs of life in their last two matches, where they secured 2 wins, their overall form remains inconsistent, making it challenging to predict a solid performance against Osasuna. The model gives Osasuna a win probability of around 55%, while projecting a score of 2-1. However, the caveat is that if Racing Santander can exploit Osasuna's defensive frailties or if Osasuna fails to convert their chances, the match could swing in favour of the visitors. The full methodology behind this prediction is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, with our analysis conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Osasuna have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Osasuna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Osasuna vs Racing Santander| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.99 | 3.68 | 3.72 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.53 | 2.34 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.01 | 3.75 | 3.69 | 1.63 | 2.38 | — | — | |
| 2.01 | 3.28 | 3.06 | 1.66 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.04 | 3.78 | 3.82 | 1.68 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.56 | 2.22 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Osasuna and Racing Santander stands at 3 wins for each side with no draws in their last six encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams securing narrow and heavy wins. Osasuna's victories include a 4-2 win and a 2-0 win, while Racing Santander has a notable 4-1 win and a 2-0 win. This balance suggests that both teams have had their moments of dominance, making the rivalry quite evenly matched historically, with no team having a significant edge in recent matchups.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | DWLDL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | DLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOsasuna have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Osasuna 1-1 and lost to Osasuna 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 14L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Racing Santander have won 1 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Racing Santander 5-0 and lost to Rayo Vallecano 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 6L from the last 17 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersOsasuna6
Racing Santander1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Osasuna have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Racing Santander 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Osasuna have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Osasuna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
