Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma Prediction, Tips & Odds
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
Match Preview
The model favours Penybont to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against FC Santa Coloma. Penybont comes into this match with a mixed form, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistent performance may raise some concerns, but they have shown the ability to secure victories, which could play a crucial role in their confidence heading into this fixture. On the other hand, FC Santa Coloma's season performance details are not available, making it difficult to assess their current form and standing. Without recent results or season statistics to analyze, we cannot fully gauge their potential impact in this match. This lack of data could mean that they may either be a surprise package or face challenges, depending on their current squad dynamics and form. According to the model, Penybont has a strong probability of winning this match, but there is always the risk that inconsistencies in their recent performances could hinder their efforts. The detailed prediction methodology, which incorporates expected goals and actual results across the season, is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team emphasizes a data-driven approach to provide insights for this match.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Penybont have kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches. FC Santa Coloma average 1.7 goals per game.
Penybont manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. FC Santa Coloma score 1.67 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
FC Santa Coloma have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. FC Santa Coloma are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 2.78 | 3.58 | 2.27 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 2.74 | 3.51 | 2.23 | 1.83 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.78 | 3.07 | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.92 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.82 | 3.58 | 2.28 | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.18 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 2.08 | |
| 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.20 | 1.82 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 2.82 | 3.45 | 2.27 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (FC Santa Coloma leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Penybont and FC Santa Coloma stands at 0 wins for Penybont, 1 draw, and 1 win for FC Santa Coloma. The scorelines indicate a competitive dynamic, with one match ending in a draw and the other resulting in a 2-0 victory for FC Santa Coloma. This suggests that while Penybont has managed to secure a draw, they have not yet claimed a win against FC Santa Coloma. The results indicate a relatively tight contest without heavy defeats, but Penybont has not won in their last two encounters.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPenybont have won 1 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Santa Coloma 0-1 and beat Haverfordwest County AFC 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 2D 6L from the last 10 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
FC Santa Coloma have won 4 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Penybont 0-1 and lost to Ranger's 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPenybont
No reported absences
FC Santa Coloma
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Beltrano has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Beltrano to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Penybont average 0.7 goals per match at home; FC Santa Coloma 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Santa Coloma have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 67% of their matches and averaging 1.7 goals per game. FC Santa Coloma player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
