Rīgas FS II vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rīgas FS II vs Skanste
Match Preview
The model favours Skanste to win this match, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Skanste currently sits in 9th place in the league, having accumulated 23 points from 19 matches. Their season has shown a better trajectory compared to Rīgas FS II, highlighted by their goal difference of +1, which indicates a more balanced attack and defence. With three wins in their last five matches, Skanste appears to be gaining momentum. In contrast, Rīgas FS II is struggling at 10th place, with only 15 points and a disappointing goal difference of -24. Their form has been particularly concerning, with just one win in their last five matches, leading to four consecutive losses. This poor form suggests significant challenges in both scoring and defending, which could be detrimental against a team like Skanste that has shown more resilience. The model gives Skanste a strong win probability, reflecting their superior form and position in the standings. However, one caveat is that if Rīgas FS II manages to regain form or exploit any defensive lapses from Skanste, an upset could be on the cards. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 10.9% probability.
Rīgas FS II have been the stronger side, winning 27% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Rīgas FS II win as the most likely scoreline at 10.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Rīgas FS II are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rīgas FS II vs Skanste| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.84 | 4.20 | 3.02 | 1.23 | 3.42 | 1.26 | 3.28 | |
| 1.91 | 4.00 | 2.88 | 1.22 | 3.80 | 1.25 | 3.60 | |
| 1.79 | 4.27 | 3.01 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.81 | 3.67 | 2.82 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.30 | 3.20 | |
| 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 3.40 | — | — | |
| 1.86 | 4.20 | 3.07 | 1.23 | 3.42 | 1.26 | 3.38 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.95 | 2.95 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Rīgas FS II leads 5-2)In the last eight matches between Rīgas FS II and Skanste, Rīgas FS II has won five times, Skanste has two wins, and there has been one draw. This record shows a relatively strong performance by Rīgas FS II, particularly highlighted by several decisive victories, including a 5-1 and a 5-0 win. Skanste’s victories have been narrower, with one win being 1-0. The draw occurred in 2022, indicating that Skanste has not won against Rīgas FS II since October 2023, suggesting a trend of dominance by Rīgas FS II in recent encounters.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Skanste | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 15 | LLWLL |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRīgas FS II have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Skanste 3-4 and beat JFK Ventspils 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 16L from the last 30 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Skanste have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Skanste 3-4 and lost to Riga FC II 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 13L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRīgas FS II
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rīgas FS II average 1.7 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Rīgas FS II have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 27% of their matches and averaging 1.7 goals per game. Rīgas FS II player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.