Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2 Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2
Match Preview
The model favours Super Nova 2 to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Super Nova 2 currently sits in 7th place in the league, having accumulated 24 points from 19 matches. Their season has been a mix of results, but they have managed to secure six victories and six draws, indicating a level of competitiveness that Rēzekne FA has struggled to match. Key statistics show that Super Nova 2 has scored 26 goals while conceding 28, resulting in a goal difference of -2, which reflects their ability to at least keep games relatively close. In contrast, Rēzekne FA has had a challenging season, languishing at the bottom of the table in 14th place. With only one win from 17 matches, they have struggled significantly, evidenced by their goal tally of just 13 goals scored against 48 conceded, leading to a goal difference of -35. Their recent form is particularly concerning, having lost all five of their last matches, which highlights their difficulties in both scoring and defending. The model outputs a win probability of approximately 65% for Super Nova 2, suggesting they are the clear favourites for this matchup. However, one caveat to consider is that if Rēzekne FA manages to find an early goal, it could disrupt Super Nova 2's confidence and game plan. The full method behind this prediction, which utilises expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Super Nova 2 leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Rēzekne FA and Super Nova 2 shows that Super Nova 2 has won 1 match, while Rēzekne FA has not secured a victory or draw in their sole encounter. The only match played ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Super Nova 2, indicating a tightly contested fixture. As there have been no draws or multiple matches, the data suggests a one-sided historical engagement, with Rēzekne FA still searching for their first result against Super Nova 2.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 86 | 16 | 70 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 21 | 25 | 44 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 37 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 25 | DLDLW |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Tukums II | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 12 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 61 | -45 | 6 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRēzekne FA have won 3 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 2-2 and lost to Valmiera / BSS 1-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 22L from the last 31 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Super Nova 2 have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 2-2 and lost to Leevon / PPK 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 7L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRēzekne FA
No reported absences
Super Nova 2
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
