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Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK Prediction, Tips & Odds

Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

BundesligaRegular Season - 3
Rapid Vienna
#1 · Bundesliga
WWWWW
8 - 0
Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Referee: A. Talic
Grazer AK
#9 · Bundesliga
WLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Rapid Vienna to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Grazer AK make Rapid Vienna the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 (implied 61.9%) for Rapid Vienna to Win. Our experts calculate a 64.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.55). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (64.4% vs 61.9%), driven by Rapid Vienna's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win against Grazer AK, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rapid Vienna is currently in excellent form, having secured five consecutive wins in their last five matches. This impressive run showcases their offensive capability and solid defensive performance, which will be crucial as they face a struggling opponent. In contrast, Grazer AK has had a challenging season, winning only two of their last five matches and suffering three losses. Their inconsistent form suggests difficulties in both attack and defense, which could be exploited by Rapid Vienna. The ability to bounce back from defeats will be vital for Grazer AK if they hope to compete effectively in this matchup. The model indicates a high win probability for Rapid Vienna, reflecting their strong recent performances and overall season trajectory. However, a potential caveat could be the pressure of maintaining their winning streak, which may lead to an uncharacteristic performance. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Rapid Vienna Win58%1.62
Draw21%3.84
Grazer AK Win21%5.12
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7955.4%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8154.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Rapid Vienna 1-0 Grazer AK
6.7115.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Rapid Vienna -1.5
2.7538%

Rapid Vienna have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
6.71
15.0%
1-1
6.97
14.4%
2-0
7.43
13.6%
2-1
7.47
13.5%
0-0
10.86
9.4%
3-0
11.84
8.6%

Our model projects a 1-0 Rapid Vienna win as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Rapid Vienna clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Rapid Vienna
-0.0
1.23
Grazer AK
+0.0
3.83
Rapid Vienna
-0.5
1.60
Grazer AK
+0.5
4.40
Rapid Vienna
-1.5
2.75
Grazer AK
+1.5
10.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rapid Vienna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.643.955.001.831.951.801.85
Marathonbet
1.593.885.401.791.991.781.90
Betfair
1.623.805.001.871.901.802.00
Pinnacle
1.654.075.391.832.06
SBO
1.603.684.831.852.01
William Hill
1.623.755.001.801.95
Bet365
1.573.805.251.802.001.801.95
1xBet
1.613.885.311.791.991.791.92
Unibet
1.623.654.801.781.891.751.90
888Sport
1.623.755.001.751.951.801.95
Betano
1.623.855.201.821.951.801.91
BetVictor
1.624.005.251.761.921.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRapid Vienna or Draw
79%1.15
12Rapid Vienna or Grazer AK
79%1.23
X2Draw or Grazer AK
43%2.22

Head to Head

Last 4 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)
1 Rapid Vienna2 Draw1 Grazer AK
Nov 25
Rapid Vienna
1-2
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Sept 25
Grazer AK
1-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Mar 25
Rapid Vienna
3-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Oct 24
Grazer AK
1-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga

The head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and Grazer AK stands at 1 win for Rapid Vienna, 2 draws, and 1 win for Grazer AK over the last four matches. The results indicate a relatively balanced competition, with two matches ending in draws and both teams securing a win. The scorelines reveal a mix of outcomes, including a heavy 3-0 victory for Rapid Vienna, while Grazer AK's win was by a narrow 2-1 margin. The draws suggest that matches between these teams tend to be closely contested, with no clear dominance from either side in recent encounters.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
3300111109
WWW
2
Lask Linz
33009189
WWW
3
Red Bull Salzburg
32105147
WDW
4
Sturm Graz
32104137
WWD
5
Wolfsberger AC
31115324
LDW
6
Austria Lustenau
31114404
WLD
9
Grazer AK
3102212-103
LWL
10
Ried
301237-41
LLD
11
WSG Wattens
301227-51
LLD
12
TSV Hartberg
300305-50
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Rapid ViennaHome
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 9 · GA 03.00 pts/game
Grazer AKAway
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 0 · GA 110.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Rapid ViennaGrazer AK
1.97Goals p.g.1.66
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.28
31%Clean sheets24%
57%Win rate41%
3.14Avg goals in match2.93
1.76xG per game0.95
-0.16xGA per game-0.35
61%Possession %41%
6.2Shots on target / game1.0
5.0Corners per game2.0
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 14 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Grazer AK 8-0 and beat Paide 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 6D 9L from the last 35 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
16 Aug
Rapid Vienna
8-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2-0
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Aug
Ried
1-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
06 Aug
Paide
1-4
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Rapid Vienna
1-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6-2
FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Europa Conference League
20
Win
57%
6
Draw
17%
9
Lost
26%
Grazer AK
Recent Form

Grazer AK have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lask Linz 3-0 and beat Fach-Donaufeld 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 10L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Grazer AKAll competitions
08 Aug
Grazer AK
2-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
31 Jul
Lask Linz
3-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
25 Jul
Fach-Donaufeld
0-4
Grazer AK
Cup
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0-5
Dynamo Dresden
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Grazer AK
1-0
SV Kapfenberg
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Grazer AK
2-4
First Vienna
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
41%
7
Draw
24%
10
Lost
34%

Lineups

Confirmed

Rapid Vienna4-2-3-1Confirmed

77Bendegúz BollaDEF
55Nenad CvetkovićDEF
6Serge-Philippe Raux-YaoDEF
38Jannes HornDEF
9Ercan KaraFWD
1Niklas HedlGK
22Yusuf DemirMID
8Tonni AdamsenMID
10Petter Nosakhare DahlMID
18Matthias SeidlMID
29Romeo AmaneMID
4Jakob SchöllerDEF
23Jonas AuerDEF
15Nikolaus WurmbrandFWD
7Marco TilioFWD
43Moulaye HaïdaraFWD
25Paul GartlerGK
17Tobias Fjeld GulliksenMID
21Louis SchaubMID
30Nicolas BajliczMID

Grazer AK3-1-4-2Confirmed

2Donovan PinesDEF
3Ludwig Vraa-JensenDEF
82Beres OwusuDEF
25Alexander HofleitnerFWD
34Peter MichorlFWD
23Cican StankovićGK
8Tobias KochMID
7Anthony SmitsMID
32Leon KlassenMID
6Liam HermeshMID
48Matthias GraggerMID
72Petar MarkovicDEF
30Christoph HasenhüttlDEF
9Daniel MadernerFWD
11Mark GroßeFWD
1Jakob MeierhoferGK
17Souleyman MandeyMID
70Nicky Fatayi Brown UgoMID
29Ismaël GuertiMID
10Christian LichtenbergerMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Grazer AK

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Rapid Vienna Win1.62 (57.5%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (55.4%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (54.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (45.3%)
BTTS No1.93 (44.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.84 (21.1%)
Grazer AK Win5.12 (21.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

A. Talic has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Rapid Vienna have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Grazer AK 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Rapid Vienna have generated 1.76 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rapid Vienna player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Rapid Vienna to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.