RB Bragantino vs Coritiba Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Bragantino vs Coritiba
Match Preview
The model favours RB Bragantino to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Coritiba. Currently sitting in 5th place, Bragantino has shown strong form, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. Their offensive capabilities are reflected in their goal tally of 25, while their defense has conceded only 19 goals, giving them a positive goal difference of 6. Coritiba, in 7th place, has had a mixed season so far, with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal difference sits at 0, having scored 24 goals and conceded the same amount. Although they have shown resilience, their recent form is less impressive, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, which may hinder their ability to secure points against a more consistent opponent. According to the model, Bragantino has a higher win probability and is likely to secure the three points in this matchup. However, one caveat to consider is that Coritiba's ability to capitalize on set pieces could pose a threat, especially given Bragantino's recent defensive lapses. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
RB Bragantino have kept a clean sheet in 31% of matches. Coritiba average 1.3 goals per game.
RB Bragantino manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Coritiba score 1.28 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
RB Bragantino have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 RB Bragantino win as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature RB Bragantino clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. RB Bragantino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Bragantino vs Coritiba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.58 | 3.80 | 5.75 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 1.60 | 3.78 | 5.50 | 1.94 | 1.83 | 1.92 | 1.77 | |
| 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.62 | 3.91 | 5.64 | 2.00 | 1.85 | — | — | |
| 1.56 | 3.53 | 4.94 | 2.01 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.65 | 3.88 | 5.65 | 1.98 | 1.86 | 1.92 | 1.79 | |
| 1.58 | 3.90 | 5.60 | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 1.64 | 3.90 | 5.40 | 1.97 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (RB Bragantino leads 4-3)In the last nine matches between RB Bragantino and Coritiba, RB Bragantino has won 4 times, Coritiba has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories, as seen in the three matches decided by a single goal. However, there was also a notable 4-2 win for Bragantino in 2022, which adds some lopsidedness to the record. The most recent results suggest a slight edge for Bragantino, but both teams have had their moments of success in this fixture.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 | WWDDD |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 34 | WLDWD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 32 | DDLWD |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 | DWWWL |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 30 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  Bahia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 19 | WLWLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 | WLWDW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 9 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Bragantino have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Atletico Paranaense 2-1 and beat Internacional 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 11L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Coritiba have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Coritiba 3-0 and beat Santos 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 7L from the last 25 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRB Bragantino
No reported absences
Coritiba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Fernandes de Lima has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by F. Fernandes de Lima to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
RB Bragantino have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Coritiba 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Bragantino have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Bragantino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
