RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Match Preview
The model favours RB Leipzig to win this match against Eintracht Frankfurt, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Leipzig currently sits in 9th place in the Bundesliga, having won two of their first four matches. Their attacking prowess is reflected in their goal difference of +4, scoring nine goals while conceding five. Despite a mixed form of two wins and three losses in their last five matches, they have shown the ability to find the net consistently. On the other hand, Eintracht Frankfurt is just behind Leipzig in 10th place, with one win, two draws, and one loss in their opening fixtures. They have scored nine goals as well, but their defensive struggles are evident with ten goals conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of -1. Frankfurt's recent form of two wins, two draws, and one loss indicates some resilience, but they have not yet found the consistency needed to climb higher in the standings. The model's output indicates a 61.2% probability of a Leipzig victory, with a 20.0% chance of a draw and an 18.8% chance that Frankfurt will win. Additionally, there is a 71.8% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and a 65.9% chance for both teams to score. One potential caveat for Leipzig is their recent inconsistency, which could lead to unexpected results. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses expected goals and actual results to inform our assessments.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.4% probability.
RB Leipzig have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 RB Leipzig win as the most likely scoreline at 11.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. RB Leipzig are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.54 | 5.00 | 5.15 | 1.26 | 3.40 | 1.36 | 2.89 | |
| 1.53 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 3.60 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 1.57 | 4.95 | 4.98 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.49 | 4.37 | 4.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.60 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.90 | |
| 1.55 | 4.75 | 5.25 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 1.58 | 5.13 | 5.29 | 1.26 | 3.40 | 1.36 | 2.94 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.10 | 1.32 | 3.40 | 1.39 | 2.85 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 1.29 | 3.50 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (RB Leipzig leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, RB Leipzig has won 6 times, Eintracht Frankfurt has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of tight contests and more one-sided games, with Leipzig achieving a notable 6-0 victory in December 2025 and Frankfurt securing a 4-0 win in April 2025. Overall, Leipzig has shown strength in this matchup, with three of their wins being by two goals or more. Frankfurt's last victory came in January 2024, suggesting a recent struggle against Leipzig.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Leipzig have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat RB Leipzig 5-0 and beat RB Leipzig 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 3D 11L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Eintracht Frankfurt have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat FSV Mainz 05 1-3 and drew with Union Berlin 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 9L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRB Leipzig
No reported absences
Eintracht Frankfurt
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
RB Leipzig have averaged 7.7 corners per match at home; Eintracht Frankfurt 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Leipzig have generated 3.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 8.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Leipzig player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
