Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Rapid Vienna to win, projecting a scoreline of 1-0 against Red Bull Salzburg. Rapid Vienna currently holds second place in the Bundesliga standings, having won both of their opening matches this season. With a total of three goals scored and just one conceded, their goal difference of +2 reflects a solid start, showcasing both offensive and defensive strengths. In contrast, Red Bull Salzburg sits in fifth place with four points from two games, having registered one win and one draw. They have scored two goals and conceded one, resulting in a goal difference of +1. While their recent form shows an impressive run of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, their start to the season has been less dominant compared to Rapid Vienna. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Rapid Vienna, with a projected score of 1-0. One caveat to consider is that if Red Bull Salzburg can leverage their home advantage and improve their offensive output, they could disrupt Rapid Vienna's winning streak. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.
Red Bull Salzburg have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Red Bull Salzburg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.77 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.42 | 2.62 | |
| 1.74 | 4.15 | 3.92 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.79 | 4.24 | 4.13 | 1.46 | 2.81 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.76 | 4.10 | 3.92 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 1.84 | 4.00 | 3.55 | 1.42 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.60 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 3.95 | 3.90 | 1.44 | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Superbet | 1.76 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.42 | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rapid Vienna leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna, Rapid Vienna leads with 5 wins, while Red Bull Salzburg has 3 victories and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight encounters, as evidenced by four matches ending with a one-goal margin. However, Rapid Vienna has shown a stronger tendency to secure victories, including three consecutive wins in their most recent meetings. The last time Red Bull Salzburg triumphed over Rapid Vienna was in 2025, highlighting a significant gap in their recent head-to-head success.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Grazer AK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Austria Vienna | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRed Bull Salzburg have won 11 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Red Bull Salzburg 5-1 and beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 11L from the last 37 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rapid Vienna have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rapid Vienna 5-1 and drew with Heart Of Midlothian 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 10L from the last 37 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRed Bull Salzburg4-2-3-1Confirmed
Rapid Vienna
Not yet available
Unavailable Players
0 playersRed Bull Salzburg
No reported absences
Rapid Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Semler has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Red Bull Salzburg have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Rapid Vienna 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Red Bull Salzburg have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Red Bull Salzburg player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
