Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau Prediction, Tips & Odds
Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Match Preview
The model favours Austria Vienna to win against Austria Lustenau, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Austria Vienna currently sits in 12th position in the league, having played four matches this season, with a record of one win and three losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals while only scoring three, resulting in a goal difference of -6. However, their recent form shows a slight improvement, as they managed to secure a win and a draw in their last five matches. On the other hand, Austria Lustenau ranks 7th, with five matches played and one win, two draws, and two losses. They have scored five goals but have also conceded nine, leading to a goal difference of -4. Their recent form indicates inconsistency, with only one win in their last five matches. The lack of victories may hinder their confidence as they face a struggling opponent. The model assigns Austria Vienna a win probability of 53.6%, while a draw is at 25.3% and Austria Lustenau at 21.1%. One key market to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 51.3%. A potential caveat for Austria Vienna is their defensive vulnerabilities, which could allow Lustenau to exploit gaps if they are not careful. The full method of this prediction, which involves an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Austria Vienna have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Austria Vienna clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Austria Vienna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.85 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 1.77 | 3.75 | 4.15 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.80 | 3.96 | 4.38 | 1.77 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.79 | 3.75 | 4.12 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.15 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Austria Vienna leads 4-2)In the last nine matches between Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau, Austria Vienna has won four times, there have been three draws, and Austria Lustenau has won twice. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters and some one-sided results, with Austria Vienna achieving a 5-0 victory in one match and a 2-0 win in another. However, the matches have also featured tight contests, such as two 1-1 draws and a narrow 1-0 win for Austria Lustenau. Austria Lustenau's last win against Austria Vienna came in February 2023, suggesting a challenging period for them in this fixture.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 17 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 16 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 5 |  Ried | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | WLLDW |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 11 |  Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 | LLLDL |
| 12 |  SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAustria Vienna have won 7 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 2-1 and lost to Austria Vienna 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 8D 13L from the last 39 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Lustenau have won 2 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Austria Vienna 2-1 and beat SV Lafnitz 2-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 7L from the last 21 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAustria Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
Austria Lustenau4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAustria Vienna
No reported absences
Austria Lustenau
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Austria Vienna have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Austria Lustenau 7.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Austria Vienna have generated 0.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Austria Vienna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.