Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel
Match Preview
The upcoming knockout clash between the Republic of Ireland and Israel promises to be a tightly contested encounter, with both teams eager to secure their place in the next round of the UEFA Nations League. While bookmakers have not yet priced this fixture, we can analyze the recent competitive form of both sides to gauge their potential. The Republic of Ireland enters this match with a mixed bag of results in their last eight competitive outings, including a notable win against Portugal and a strong performance against Grenada. They have shown resilience with several draws and wins, suggesting they can compete at a high level when it counts. Conversely, Israel's form has been more inconsistent, with fewer wins and several heavy losses, notably against Italy and Norway. However, they do have a convincing victory against Moldova, which indicates they can be formidable when on form. As both teams approach this match with everything to play for in a knockout setting, the stakes are high. A win will guarantee progression, while a loss will mean elimination from the tournament. Additionally, both squads appear to have full rosters, with no reported absentees, which should allow each manager to field their strongest team. One caveat to consider is the limited sample of recent competitive matches, which makes it difficult to predict the outcome with certainty. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates the fixture through aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context.
About the Teams
Rep. Of Ireland
Profile data not available yet.
Israel
Profile data not available yet.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Rep. Of Ireland have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rep. Of Ireland clean sheets, in line with their 50% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rep. Of Ireland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.00 | 3.44 | 3.96 | 2.03 | 1.80 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
| 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 2.03 | 3.44 | 3.98 | 2.09 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 2.01 | 3.22 | 3.57 | 2.04 | 1.82 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.75 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.02 | 3.48 | 4.00 | 2.06 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.40 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.74 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Rep. Of Ireland leads 1-0)The Republic of Ireland has won 1 match against Israel, with no draws or wins for Israel. This record is based on a single competitive meeting that took place in September 2026. Given the limited sample size, it is difficult to assert any significant trend or pattern. The solitary match ended with a 2-0 victory for the Republic of Ireland, but without additional meetings, it is challenging to draw broader conclusions about the historical rivalry between these teams.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRep. Of Ireland have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rep. Of Ireland 1-0 and beat Rep. Of Ireland 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 3L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Israel have won 3 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Austria 3-1 and beat Albania 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 5L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRep. Of Ireland3-5-1-1Confirmed
Israel4-3-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersRep. Of Ireland
No reported absences
Israel
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Juan Martinez Munuera has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Juan Martinez Munuera to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Rep. Of Ireland have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Israel 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rep. Of Ireland have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rep. Of Ireland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.