Riga FC II vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
Riga FC II vs Skanste
Match Preview
The model favours Skanste to win against Riga FC II, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are currently tied on points in the league standings but Skanste holds a slight edge in goal difference, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. Skanste's offensive output has been more potent, scoring a total of 31 goals this season compared to Riga FC II's 24. Riga FC II has struggled recently, managing just one win in their last five matches. Their form shows a tendency to concede, with 33 goals against, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Skanste could exploit. With a goal difference of -9, Riga FC II will need to tighten up defensively if they hope to turn their fortunes around. On the other hand, Skanste has shown some resilience, with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, indicating a slight upward trend. Their goal difference of -2 suggests they have been able to score effectively, even if their defensive record has not been stellar. This ability to find the net could give them the edge in a closely matched encounter. The model gives Skanste a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, if Riga FC II can improve their defensive discipline, they could pose a significant challenge. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Riga FC II have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Riga FC II are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Riga FC II vs Skanste| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.00 | 3.70 | 2.85 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.99 | 3.78 | 2.89 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 2.79 | |
| 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
| 2.00 | 3.55 | 2.92 | 1.38 | 2.68 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.75 | |
| 2.05 | 3.90 | 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.62 | — | — | |
| 2.01 | 3.78 | 2.94 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 2.86 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.85 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 2.07 | 3.60 | 2.87 | 1.40 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between Riga FC II and Skanste stands at 4 wins for each side, with 1 match ending in a draw over the last 9 encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories; five of the matches were decided by a single goal. However, Riga FC II has recorded two heavy wins, including a 4-0 victory in 2022. The most recent match saw Skanste winning 2-0, which highlights their ability to compete effectively. Overall, the results suggest a balanced contest with both teams capable of securing victories.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Skanste | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 25 | DWDLL |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRiga FC II have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Leevon / PPK 1-1 and beat Skanste 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 13L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Skanste have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Skanste 3-4 and lost to Riga FC II 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 13L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRiga FC II
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Riga FC II average 1.7 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Riga FC II have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 40% of their matches and averaging 1.7 goals per game. Riga FC II player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.