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River Plate vs Huracan Prediction, Tips & Odds

River Plate vs Huracan

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10
River Plate
#2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDDDL
1 - 2
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
Referee: F. Tello
Huracan
#7 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DDDDL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.7%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.2% vs 62.7%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours River Plate to win against Huracan, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. River Plate currently sits in second place in the Liga Profesional, boasting a solid record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference of +10, with 22 goals scored and only 12 conceded, reflects a strong defensive capability coupled with a decent attacking performance. Notably, they have been unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws, which indicates a positive trend in their form. Conversely, Huracan finds itself in seventh place, having played the same number of matches but with a less impressive record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal tally stands at 17, with 13 goals conceded, resulting in a goal difference of +4. However, their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, comprising four draws and one loss. This lack of victories could hinder their confidence going into this encounter. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for River Plate, while Huracan's chances sit around 20%. One key market indicator is River Plate's odds for a win at around 1.75. An honest caveat is that if Huracan can capitalize on set pieces or exploit any defensive lapses from River Plate, they could secure a surprising result. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
River Plate Win59%1.51
Draw23%3.78
Huracan Win18%7.44
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5260.5%

River Plate have kept a clean sheet in 39% of matches. Huracan average 1.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5962.3%

River Plate manage games at home, conceding just 0.89 goals per match. Huracan score 1.00 on the road.

Correct Score
River Plate 1-0 Huracan
4.7021.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
River Plate -0.0
1.1353%

River Plate have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
4.70
21.3%
2-0
5.84
17.2%
1-1
7.42
13.5%
0-0
7.49
13.5%
2-1
8.53
11.8%
3-0
10.03
10.0%

Our model projects a 1-0 River Plate win as the most likely scoreline at 21.3% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature River Plate clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
River Plate
-0.0
1.13
Huracan
+0.0
5.48

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. River Plate are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

River Plate vs Huracan
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.493.757.302.291.582.401.49
Betfair
1.473.907.002.251.572.401.50
Pinnacle
1.533.947.722.391.62
SBO
1.493.616.282.351.58
William Hill
1.503.607.002.301.55
Bet365
1.503.708.502.301.602.381.53
1xBet
1.523.827.452.331.602.401.51
Betano
1.553.908.252.371.622.401.53
BetVictor
1.503.807.502.191.582.401.50

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
66.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
37.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
21.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRiver Plate or Draw
82%1.08
12River Plate or Huracan
78%1.24
X2Draw or Huracan
41%2.48

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (River Plate leads 4-3)
4 River Plate2 Draw3 Huracan
13 Mar
Huracan
1-2
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 24
River Plate
1-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Mar 24
Huracan
1-0
River Plate
Copa de la Liga Profesional
Nov 23
River Plate
1-2
Huracan
Copa de la Liga Profesional
Apr 23
Huracan
0-3
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 22
Huracan
3-2
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 21
River Plate
1-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Dec 20
Huracan
1-3
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
May 20
River Plate
-
Huracan
Copa de la Superliga
Sept 19
Huracan
0-4
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina

In the last 10 matches between River Plate and Huracan, River Plate has won 4 times, Huracan has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three matches decided by a single goal. Notably, River Plate has secured two heavier victories, winning 4-0 and 3-0, while Huracan's wins include a narrow 1-0 and a 2-1 victory. The most recent match saw Huracan winning against River Plate, which may indicate a shift in momentum. Overall, the results show a balanced contest with no side dominating.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
WLWDL
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
WLDLW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
WWWDW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
WDWDD
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DWDDD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
DDWDL
7
Huracan
165741713422
WDDDL
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LWLLD
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLDDL
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
DLDDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
River PlateHome
5W0D3L
8 playedGF 14 · GA 81.88 pts/game
HuracanAway
1W6D1L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 51.13 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
River PlateHuracan
1.31Goals p.g.1
0.89Goals conceded p.g.0.85
39%Clean sheets37%
47%Win rate30%
2.19Avg goals in match1.85
1.48xG per game1.24
-0.18xGA per game0.42
65%Possession %52%
5.5Shots on target / game4.0
6.0Corners per game3.6
River Plate
Recent Form

River Plate have won 10 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with River Plate 1-1 and drew with River Plate 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 9D 10L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: River PlateAll competitions
30 Aug
Banfield
2-3
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
27 Aug
River Plate
1-1
Santa Fe
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
23 Aug
River Plate
2-2
Velez Sarsfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Aug
Santa Fe
0-0
River Plate
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
02 Aug
River Plate
0-1
Rosario Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1-0
River Plate
Liga Profesional Argentina
17
Win
47%
9
Draw
25%
10
Lost
28%
Huracan
Recent Form

Huracan have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Huracan 1-1 and lost to Independ. Rivadavia 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 12D 7L from the last 27 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: HuracanAll competitions
04 Sept
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Aug
Huracan
1-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Aug
Huracan
0-0
Deportivo Riestra
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 Aug
Huracan
0-0
Atletico Tucuman
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Jul
Independ. Rivadavia
2-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jul
Huracan
1-0
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
8
Win
30%
12
Draw
44%
7
Lost
26%

Lineups

Confirmed

River Plate4-2-3-1Confirmed

30Nicolás OtamendiDEF
29Gonzalo MontielDEF
21Marcos AcuñaDEF
28Lucas Martínez QuartaDEF
9Sebastián DriussiFWD
41Santiago BeltránGK
23Thiago AlmadaMID
15Fausto VeraMID
10Ángel CorreaMID
26Tomás GalvánMID
50Tobías AndradaMID
3Francisco OrtegaDEF
2Tobías RamírezDEF
20Giovanni GonzálezDEF
13Lautaro RiveroDEF
25Lautaro PereyraFWD
19Rafael BorréFWD
33Ezequiel CenturiónGK
43Valentín LuceroMID
44Lucas SilvaMID
24Juan Cruz MezaMID
8Mauro ArambarriMID
18Lucas BeltránMID

Huracan4-2-3-1Confirmed

2Lucas BlondelDEF
25César IbáñezDEF
35Máximo PalazzoDEF
6Fabio PereyraDEF
9Jordy CaicedoFWD
1Hernán GalíndezGK
5Rodrigo FernándezMID
15Facundo WallerMID
24Facundo KalingerMID
8Leonardo GilMID
7Oscar CortésMID
19Leandro LescanoDEF
34Ignacio CampoDEF
51Martín SotoDEF
21Hugo NervoDEF
4Federico VeraDEF
17Juan BisanzFWD
41Lautaro MoraFWD
32Sebastián MezaGK
11Thaiel PeraltaMID
20Emmanuel OjedaMID
10Óscar RomeroMID
49Tomás UribeMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

River Plate

No reported absences

Huracan

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
River Plate Win1.51 (59.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.59 (62.3%)
BTTS No1.52 (60.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.31 (37.7%)
Both Teams Score2.38 (39.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.78 (22.5%)
Huracan Win7.44 (18.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

F. Tello has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

River Plate have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Huracan 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

River Plate have generated 1.48 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. River Plate player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.