San Lorenzo vs Huracan Prediction, Tips & Odds
San Lorenzo vs Huracan
Match Preview
The model favours a draw in this matchup, projecting a scoreline of 1-1. Both San Lorenzo and Huracan find themselves in a tightly contested seventh position in the league, each accumulating 22 points from 16 matches. San Lorenzo's goal difference stands at zero, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, indicating a balanced but underwhelming offensive performance this season. Their recent form shows no wins in the last five matches, with three draws and two losses, highlighting their struggles to secure victories. On the other side, Huracan also shares the same points total but boasts a stronger goal difference of plus four, having scored 17 goals while conceding 13. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses, suggesting a more positive trajectory compared to San Lorenzo. Despite this, their inconsistency remains a concern, as they have not been able to string together a series of solid performances. The model output indicates a win probability of around 30% for each team, with a notable likelihood of a draw at 40%. One caveat to consider is that if San Lorenzo can break their winless streak and find their scoring touch, they could tilt the match in their favour. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 48% of matches. Huracan average 1.1 goals per game.
San Lorenzo manage games at home, conceding just 0.81 goals per match. Huracan score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.3% probability.
San Lorenzo have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 21.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature San Lorenzo clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. San Lorenzo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
San Lorenzo vs Huracan| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 3.60 | 1.28 | 2.65 | 1.42 | |
| 2.77 | 2.71 | 2.92 | 3.44 | 1.23 | 2.61 | 1.42 | |
| 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 1.29 | 2.63 | 1.47 | |
| 2.89 | 2.77 | 3.07 | 3.80 | 1.29 | — | — | |
| 2.66 | 2.60 | 2.85 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 2.50 | 2.90 | — | — | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 1.28 | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 2.82 | 2.76 | 2.98 | 3.44 | 1.23 | 2.61 | 1.43 | |
| 2.80 | 2.63 | 3.05 | 3.90 | 1.24 | 2.70 | 1.41 | |
| 2.80 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 1.25 | 2.63 | 1.44 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 2.77 | 2.95 | 3.65 | 1.31 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
Superbet | 2.85 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 1.29 | 2.65 | 1.44 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 3.75 | 1.25 | 2.60 | 1.44 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Huracan leads 3-1)In the last 10 matches between San Lorenzo and Huracan, San Lorenzo has won 1, drawn 6, and Huracan has won 3. This record indicates a competitive rivalry, with a notable frequency of draws, as six of the ten encounters have ended level. The scorelines suggest a tendency toward low-scoring affairs, with only three matches seeing more than one goal. Huracan's last victory over San Lorenzo came in 2026, while San Lorenzo has struggled to secure wins against Huracan, with their most recent victory dating back to 2022.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LWLWD |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSan Lorenzo have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Union Santa Fe 1-0 and lost to Huracan 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 14D 8L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Huracan have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Huracan 0-2 and lost to Independ. Rivadavia 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 7L from the last 25 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSan Lorenzo
No reported absences
Huracan
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Herrera has averaged 4.3 yellow cards per match across 3 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
San Lorenzo have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Huracan 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
San Lorenzo have generated 1.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. San Lorenzo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
