San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds
San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba
Match Preview
The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win against San Lorenzo, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Talleres currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, which contributes to a positive goal difference of 4. Despite recent struggles, their overall form this season has been more consistent compared to their opponents. San Lorenzo, on the other hand, is positioned 7th with 22 points. Their season has been marked by a struggle for consistency, reflected in their goal tally of 14 scored and 14 conceded, resulting in a neutral goal difference. Their recent form shows two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, indicating some potential for improvement but also a vulnerability that Talleres may exploit. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Talleres, with a projected score of 1-0. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of a low-scoring match, as both teams have shown defensive strengths. However, if San Lorenzo can capitalize on their home advantage, it could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 49% of matches. Talleres Cordoba average 1.0 goals per game.
San Lorenzo manage games at home, conceding just 0.77 goals per match. Talleres Cordoba score 1.04 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.
San Lorenzo have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature San Lorenzo clean sheets, in line with their 49% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. San Lorenzo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.34 | 2.96 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.62 | |
| 2.31 | 2.96 | 3.32 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.03 | 1.68 | |
| 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 1.44 | — | — | |
| 2.39 | 3.06 | 3.48 | 2.63 | 1.53 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.04 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.25 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 2.35 | 3.01 | 3.38 | 2.48 | 1.54 | 2.03 | 1.70 | |
| 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.42 | 2.18 | 1.61 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.12 | 1.67 |
Superbet | 2.37 | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.77 | 1.45 | 2.22 | 1.62 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (San Lorenzo leads 4-3)The head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and Talleres Cordoba stands at 4 wins for San Lorenzo, 3 draws, and 3 wins for Talleres Cordoba over their last 10 encounters. This indicates a relatively balanced competition, though San Lorenzo has a slight edge. The matches have often been tightly contested, with four fixtures ending in draws and several encounters featuring narrow scorelines, as seen in the 1-0 and 2-0 results. Notably, Talleres Cordoba's last victory over San Lorenzo was in December 2020, suggesting a period of struggle against their rivals.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSan Lorenzo have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat San Lorenzo 1-0 and beat San Lorenzo 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 16D 9L from the last 35 games (29% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Talleres Cordoba have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Talleres Cordoba 1-0 and beat Platense 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 9L from the last 25 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSan Lorenzo
No reported absences
Talleres Cordoba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
San Lorenzo have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Talleres Cordoba 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
San Lorenzo have generated 0.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. San Lorenzo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
