Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro
Match Preview
The model favours Club Queretaro to win this match against Santos Laguna, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Queretaro currently sits in 4th place in the Liga MX standings, having accumulated 17 points from 9 matches. With 5 wins and only 2 losses, their performance has been solid, particularly in defence, having conceded just 8 goals, which highlights their organisational strength at the back. In contrast, Santos Laguna is struggling at 16th place with only 10 points from 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses reflects inconsistent form, and they have allowed 15 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Queretaro may exploit. Despite a recent improvement with three wins from their last five matches, Santos still needs to find more consistency to climb up the standings. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Queretaro, alongside a projected score of 2-1. One key market indicator to note is that Queretaro is favoured in the betting lines. However, Santos's recent uptick in form could pose a challenge, and if they manage to convert chances effectively, they could upset the prediction. For a deeper understanding of our analysis, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.
Santos Laguna have been the stronger side, winning 27% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Santos Laguna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.32 | 3.54 | 2.68 | 1.64 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.31 | |
| 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.46 | 3.61 | 2.82 | 1.68 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.28 | 3.19 | 2.51 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.32 | 3.54 | 2.68 | 1.64 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.77 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.63 | 2.11 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Club Queretaro leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro, the record stands at Santos Laguna winning 3 times, Club Queretaro winning 4 times, and 3 matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, as seen in the 2-2 and 3-3 draws. While there have been some narrow victories, such as Santos Laguna's 3-1 win and Queretaro's 2-0 wins, there is no clear dominance from either side in recent encounters. The last win for Santos Laguna against Club Queretaro occurred in March 2024, highlighting the balance in their head-to-head history.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 2 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 6 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 | WWWWL |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSantos Laguna have won 3 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Santos Laguna 1-0 and drew with Santos Laguna 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 20L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Club Queretaro have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 and beat Club Tijuana 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 12D 9L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSantos Laguna
No reported absences
Club Queretaro
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Mario Terrazas Chavez has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Santos Laguna have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Santos Laguna have generated 1.08 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 27% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Santos Laguna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
