Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Match Preview
The model favours U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Atlante FC. U.N.A.M. sits in 12th place in the league, just one point ahead of Atlante, and their overall season performance reflects a slightly better form. With three wins to their name and a goal difference of -2, they have shown potential despite a mixed record. The team has scored 14 goals this season, indicating a capacity to find the net, although they have also conceded 16. Atlante FC, positioned 14th, has struggled to convert matches into victories, managing only two wins from their ten matches. Their goal-scoring tally of 12 and a goal difference of -3 suggest they have faced difficulties both in attack and defense. Their recent form, with just one win in their last five matches, highlights ongoing challenges as they seek to climb the standings. The model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas a win probability of approximately 55%, projecting a score of 2-1. While the Pumas have the edge statistically, a lack of form in recent matches could prove detrimental, especially if Atlante manages to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a detailed explanation of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Atlante FC have been the stronger side, winning 25% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atlante FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.57 | 3.46 | 2.45 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 2.81 | 3.53 | 2.54 | 1.83 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.47 | 3.20 | 2.54 | 1.80 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.38 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.57 | 3.46 | 2.45 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.35 | 2.75 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (U.N.A.M. - Pumas leads 1-0)U.N.A.M. - Pumas hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Atlante FC wins. The record points to a tie U.N.A.M. - Pumas have controlled for years, though the draws show Atlante FC have at times kept it tight.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 | LDLWW |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 | DWDWL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 | DWDLD |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 | DLDLW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 9 | DLLLD |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlante FC have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Atlante FC 4-2 and drew with Atlante FC 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 9L from the last 24 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Atlas 1-1 and lost to Club Tijuana 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 13D 10L from the last 38 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAtlante FC5-3-2Confirmed
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Not yet available
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtlante FC
No reported absences
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Atlante FC have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atlante FC have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 25% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atlante FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
