Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez Prediction, Tips & Odds
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez
Match Preview
The model favours Santos Laguna to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Santos Laguna currently sits in 17th place in the Liga MX standings with just one point from six matches, having recorded one draw and five losses. They have struggled offensively, scoring only four goals, while their defensive issues are evident with 11 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -7. Despite their low position, Santos did show some signs of life in their last two matches, managing a win and a draw. On the other hand, FC Juarez is at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having lost all six of their matches this season without earning a single point. Their goal-scoring woes are even more pronounced, with only three goals scored and a staggering 19 goals conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -16. Their recent form has not improved, as they have lost their last four matches and have not shown the ability to turn their season around. According to the model, Santos Laguna has a win probability of around 60% for this match. The projected score is 2-0 in favour of Santos, with a key market indicator being the odds reflecting their slight edge over FC Juarez. However, one potential caveat is Santos Laguna's ongoing struggles, which could lead to another disappointing result if they fail to convert opportunities. For a deeper insight into this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.
Santos Laguna have been the stronger side, winning 21% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Santos Laguna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.93 | 3.68 | 3.46 | 1.61 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.04 | 3.68 | 3.68 | 1.73 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.09 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.95 | 3.68 | 3.46 | 1.61 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
| 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.10 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.46 | 2.40 | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
Superbet | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.45 | 1.56 | 2.42 | 1.50 | 2.47 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.66 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Juarez leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Santos Laguna and FC Juarez, FC Juarez has won 5 times, Santos Laguna has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including four games decided by a single goal. Notably, FC Juarez has enjoyed recent success, winning three of the last four encounters, while Santos Laguna's most significant victory came with a 5-1 win in October 2023. The overall record suggests a balanced matchup, but FC Juarez has had the upper hand in recent fixtures.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSantos Laguna have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Santos Laguna 0-0 and lost to Santos Laguna 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 19L from the last 29 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
FC Juarez have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Juarez 2-1 and lost to Toluca 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 16L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSantos Laguna3-4-3Confirmed
FC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSantos Laguna
No reported absences
FC Juarez
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Santos Laguna have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; FC Juarez 3.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Santos Laguna have generated 1.15 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 21% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Santos Laguna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
