Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Shkendija vs Bravo Prediction, Tips & Odds

Shkendija vs Bravo

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Shkendija
WLWWD
VS
National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Referee: M. Rusz
Bravo
LWWLL
★ OUR PICK
Shkendija to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Bravo make Shkendija the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 (implied 64.4%) for Shkendija to Win. Our experts calculate a 66.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.49). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.9% vs 64.4%), driven by Shkendija's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Shkendija to win against Bravo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Shkendija has shown a mixed bag of results recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This suggests a team that has had moments of strength, but also some vulnerabilities. Their ability to secure points when needed will be crucial in this match. On the other hand, Bravo enters this match with a recent form of two wins and three losses. This inconsistency may reflect challenges in maintaining momentum, particularly when facing off against a team like Shkendija. The pressure to perform in an important fixture could weigh heavily on them, especially given their recent struggles. The model provides a win probability for Shkendija, indicating a strong likelihood of victory, although specific percentages and further market insights are not available. One caveat to consider is the potential for Shkendija to falter under pressure or if they struggle to convert chances into goals. For a detailed explanation of how these predictions are formulated, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that assesses matches through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Shkendija Win57%1.55
Draw21%3.95
Bravo Win23%5.22
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7753.4%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7352.9%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Shkendija 1-0 Bravo
6.5215.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Shkendija -1.5
2.8837%

Shkendija have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
6.52
15.4%
1-1
6.97
14.4%
2-1
7.02
14.4%
2-0
7.06
14.3%
0-0
10.79
9.5%
3-1
10.96
9.3%

Our model projects a 1-0 Shkendija win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Shkendija clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Shkendija
-0.0
1.20
Bravo
+0.0
4.00
Shkendija
-0.3
1.45
Bravo
+0.3
2.87
Shkendija
-0.5
1.56
Bravo
+0.5
4.65
Shkendija
-1.5
2.88
Bravo
+1.5
9.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Shkendija are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Shkendija vs Bravo
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.513.905.901.732.051.731.91
Marathonbet
1.534.055.601.742.041.771.92
Betfair
1.553.905.001.652.101.732.05
Pinnacle
1.563.984.981.732.05
SBO
1.553.524.591.791.99
William Hill
1.573.805.001.752.00
Bet365
1.554.004.501.752.051.831.83
1xBet
1.584.205.801.782.081.771.94
Unibet
1.554.005.251.662.061.711.97
Betano
1.534.055.501.752.021.821.88
Superbet
1.594.005.001.751.971.821.90
BetVictor
1.554.005.501.731.951.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XShkendija or Draw
77%1.13
12Shkendija or Bravo
79%1.19
X2Draw or Bravo
44%2.29

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Bravo leads 1-0)
0 Shkendija0 Draw1 Bravo
23 Jul
Bravo
2-1
Shkendija
UEFA Europa Conference League

In the head-to-head record between Shkendija and Bravo, Bravo has won 1 match, while Shkendija has not secured any wins or draws. The only encounter resulted in a 2-1 victory for Bravo, indicating a competitive match but ultimately a decisive win for Bravo. This single fixture shows that Bravo has a slight edge historically, although it is important to note that the sample size is limited to just one match. Shkendija will look to improve their record in future meetings.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
ShkendijaBravo
1.57Goals p.g.1.42
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.25
29%Clean sheets25%
50%Win rate58%
2.79Avg goals in match2.67
Shkendija
Recent Form

Shkendija have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Skopje 3-0 and beat Europa 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 2D 5L from the last 14 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ShkendijaAll competitions
26 Jul
Shkendija
3-0
Skopje
First League
23 Jul
Bravo
2-1
Shkendija
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Shkendija
1-0
Europa
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Europa
0-5
Shkendija
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jun
Zorya Luhansk
2-2
Shkendija
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Celje
1-0
Shkendija
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
50%
2
Draw
14%
5
Lost
36%
Bravo
Recent Form

Bravo have won 3 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Olimpija Ljubljana 0-2 and lost to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 0D 5L from the last 12 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BravoAll competitions
26 Jul
Bravo
0-3
Nafta
1. SNL
23 Jul
Bravo
2-1
Shkendija
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Olimpija Ljubljana
0-2
Bravo
1. SNL
11 Jul
Bravo
0-1
Karpaty
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-1
Bravo
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Bravo
1-2
HNK Rijeka
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
58%
0
Draw
0%
5
Lost
42%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Shkendija

No reported absences

Bravo

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Shkendija Win1.55 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (52.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.03 (47.1%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (53.4%)
BTTS No1.93 (46.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.95 (20.8%)
Bravo Win5.22 (22.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Rusz has averaged 0.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Shkendija average 1.6 goals per match at home; Bravo 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Shkendija have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Shkendija player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Shkendija to Win

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.