SK Beveren vs OH Leuven Prediction, Tips & Odds
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven
Match Preview
The model favours SK Beveren to win against OH Leuven, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. SK Beveren currently sits in 11th place in the Jupiler Pro League standings after three matches, having secured one victory along with two losses. Their goal difference of -4 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but their recent form shows promise, with three wins in their last five matches. This suggests they are capable of finding their rhythm, which could be crucial in this matchup. On the other hand, OH Leuven finds itself at the bottom of the table in 16th place, having lost both of their opening matches without scoring a goal. Their last five matches show a disappointing trend, with no wins and only one draw, indicating a struggle to find form early in the season. With a goal difference of -5, they will need to significantly improve their defensive performance to compete effectively. The model output gives SK Beveren a win probability, reflecting their stronger position and recent form. However, a potential caveat is that if OH Leuven can turn their fortunes around and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Beveren, they might surprise the home side. For a comprehensive understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
SK Beveren have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SK Beveren are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 2.19 | 3.48 | 3.04 | 1.62 | 2.26 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.23 | 3.69 | 3.18 | 1.65 | 2.33 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 3.28 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.24 | 3.56 | 3.12 | 1.64 | 2.29 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
| 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 1.47 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.85 | 1.62 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.47 |
Superbet | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.90 | 1.60 | 2.35 | 1.51 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (OH Leuven leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between SK Beveren and OH Leuven stands at 4 wins for Beveren, 1 draw, and 5 wins for Leuven over their last 10 encounters. This indicates a slightly favorable edge for Leuven, particularly highlighted by their recent 5-1 victory in a friendly match. The scorelines suggest a mix of tightly contested games and some more decisive outcomes, with both sides capable of scoring multiple goals. Notably, SK Beveren's last win against OH Leuven was in April 2021, which may reflect a shift in momentum favoring Leuven in recent matchups.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSK Beveren have won 4 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat OH Leuven 3-0 and beat FC Eindhoven 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 5L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
OH Leuven have won 2 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to OH Leuven 1-0 and drew with Heerenveen 4-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSK Beveren4-1-3-2Confirmed
OH Leuven3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSK Beveren
No reported absences
OH Leuven
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
W. Smet has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by W. Smet to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
SK Beveren average 2.3 goals per match at home; OH Leuven 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
SK Beveren have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.3 goals per game. SK Beveren player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
