SK Beveren vs St. Truiden Prediction, Tips & Odds
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
Match Preview
The model favours SK Beveren to win against St. Truiden, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Beveren currently sits in 11th place in the Jupiler Pro League, having played four matches this season. Their form shows two wins in their last five games, though they have struggled defensively with ten goals conceded. This -8 goal difference highlights the need for improvement at the back, but they have shown resilience by securing points in their recent outings. On the other hand, St. Truiden is positioned 12th, with just two matches played and no wins yet this season. Their record of two draws indicates a struggle to convert chances into victories, despite scoring four goals. However, their defence has been equally challenged, with four goals conceded, resulting in a goal difference of zero. The limited number of matches played may mean they are still finding their rhythm. The model gives SK Beveren a win probability of around 55%, while St. Truiden has a 25% chance of victory, with the remaining 20% likely resulting in a draw. One key market to consider is the goals market, where over 2.5 goals may be appealing given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities. A potential caveat for Beveren is their inconsistency, which could lead to another disappointing performance. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, created by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
St. Truiden have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. St. Truiden are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.02 | 3.38 | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.21 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.63 | |
| 3.15 | 3.44 | 2.35 | 1.61 | 2.41 | — | — | |
| 2.72 | 3.38 | 2.24 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.09 | 3.46 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.33 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.32 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (St. Truiden leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between SK Beveren and St. Truiden, St. Truiden leads with 4 wins, while SK Beveren has won 3 times and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness and occasional lopsided results, with St. Truiden achieving notable victories of 4-1 and 2-4. The presence of three draws suggests that matches tend to be closely contested; however, St. Truiden's recent success, including winning the last two encounters, highlights a potential edge in their matchups. The last victory for SK Beveren came in December 2019, indicating a longer gap since their last triumph.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 8 | St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 8 | WLWDD |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSK Beveren have won 4 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat OH Leuven 3-0 and beat FC Eindhoven 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 5L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
St. Truiden have won 11 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Antwerp 1-4 and lost to Omonia Nicosia 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 3D 12L from the last 34 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSK Beveren4-1-3-2Confirmed
St. Truiden4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSK Beveren
No reported absences
St. Truiden
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SK Beveren average 2.3 goals per match at home; St. Truiden 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
St. Truiden have generated 1.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. St. Truiden player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
