St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction, Tips & Odds
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière
Match Preview
The model favours St. Truiden to win against RAAL La Louvière, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. St. Truiden currently sits in 12th place in the Jupiler Pro League, having played two matches this season. They have yet to secure a win, recording two draws, but they have managed to score four goals while conceding four, indicating a balanced start to their campaign. On the other hand, RAAL La Louvière has struggled significantly, sitting in 15th place with no wins from three matches. They have failed to secure a point, scoring just two goals and conceding six, resulting in a goal difference of -4. Their inability to convert chances into goals could be detrimental as they look to turn their fortunes around. The model output suggests a win probability of 65% for St. Truiden, while the key market percentage indicates a 55% chance of a home victory. However, a potential caveat for St. Truiden is their lack of wins thus far; if they fail to convert their chances into goals, they could struggle to secure the three points. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
St. Truiden have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 St. Truiden win as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature St. Truiden clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. St. Truiden are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.64 | 3.95 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 1.51 | 4.20 | 5.80 | 1.70 | 2.11 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.56 | 4.42 | 5.92 | 1.74 | 2.18 | — | — | |
| 1.54 | 3.61 | 4.56 | 1.69 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 1.48 | 3.90 | 5.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.94 | 1.72 | 2.14 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
| 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.87 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.05 | 5.00 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Superbet | 1.64 | 4.10 | 5.10 | 1.73 | 2.12 | 1.77 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (St. Truiden leads 2-0)St. Truiden has a head-to-head record of 2 wins and 0 losses against RAAL La Louvière, with no draws. The scorelines from these matches indicate that while St. Truiden has secured victories, the matches have been relatively close, with both games ending with a 2-1 scoreline. This suggests that although St. Truiden has been successful, the contests have not been overwhelmingly one-sided. RAAL La Louvière has not won in their last two encounters, reflecting a challenging matchup for them historically.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 8 | St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 8 | WLWDD |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSt. Truiden have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat RAAL La Louvière 4-0 and lost to Union St. Gilloise 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 3D 12L from the last 34 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
RAAL La Louvière have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to RAAL La Louvière 4-0 and lost to Standard Liege 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 10D 13L from the last 28 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSt. Truiden4-2-3-1Confirmed
RAAL La Louvière3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersSt. Truiden
No reported absences
RAAL La Louvière
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
B. Verbeke has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by B. Verbeke to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
St. Truiden average 1.7 goals per match at home; RAAL La Louvière 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
St. Truiden have generated 1.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. St. Truiden player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
