Standard Liege vs Antwerp Prediction, Tips & Odds
Standard Liege vs Antwerp
Match Preview
The model favours Antwerp to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Antwerp currently sits in third place in the Jupiler Pro League, boasting an unbeaten record with two wins and one draw from their three matches. They have scored nine goals while conceding five, resulting in a goal difference of four. Their attacking prowess is underscored by a solid form, where they have found the net consistently, contributing to their positive standing early in the season. On the other hand, Standard Liege is positioned sixth, having secured one win and two draws from their three outings. With seven goals scored and five conceded, their goal difference stands at two. Their recent form shows they have managed to earn points, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, but they will need to step up their game against a strong Antwerp side to secure a better result. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 55% for Antwerp, with the projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat lies in the unpredictability of early-season matches, where teams are still finding their rhythm and can be susceptible to surprises. The full method of our analysis, which is based on expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.
Standard Liege have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Standard Liege are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Standard Liege vs Antwerp| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.06 | 3.45 | 3.36 | 1.76 | 2.03 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.13 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.79 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.02 | 2.82 | 1.80 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.11 | 3.54 | 3.44 | 1.78 | 2.06 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
| 2.16 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.63 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Superbet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.66 | 2.17 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Antwerp leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Standard Liege and Antwerp, Antwerp has won 6 times, Standard Liege has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a notable advantage for Antwerp, with several heavy victories, including a 6-0 win and a 5-0 win. Standard Liege's victories have been narrow, with a 1-0 win being their largest margin. The matches have also featured low-scoring draws, but Antwerp's dominance is clear, particularly in recent encounters, as Standard Liege has not won against Antwerp since 2025.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Antwerp | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStandard Liege have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Standard Liege 2-0 and lost to Standard Liege 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 10L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Antwerp have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Antwerp 1-0 and lost to Leyton Orient 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 17L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedStandard Liege4-3-3Confirmed
Antwerp4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersStandard Liege
No reported absences
Antwerp
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
L. Visser has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Standard Liege have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Antwerp 1.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Standard Liege have generated 0.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Standard Liege player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
