Stjarnan vs Ilves Prediction, Tips & Odds
Stjarnan vs Ilves
Match Preview
The model favours Stjarnan to win against Ilves, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Stjarnan has shown a more consistent performance in their recent matches, with a form summary of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. This indicates a competitive edge, especially considering their ability to secure results in tight situations. On the other hand, Ilves has struggled more, managing only one win, with two draws and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent form suggests difficulties in securing points, which could hinder their chances against a more stable opponent like Stjarnan. According to our model, Stjarnan has a higher win probability in this matchup. While the projected score leans in favour of Stjarnan, it is essential to note that unexpected factors, such as injuries or last-minute tactical changes, could impact the outcome. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to generate these insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Ilves have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Ilves are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Stjarnan vs Ilves| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.50 | 3.85 | 2.34 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.75 | |
| 2.62 | 3.86 | 2.28 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.36 | 2.84 | |
| 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
| 2.65 | 4.04 | 2.28 | 1.43 | 2.81 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.31 | 2.14 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.62 | 3.86 | 2.28 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 2.65 | 3.65 | 2.30 | 1.48 | 2.40 | 1.43 | 2.55 | |
Betano | 2.57 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
Superbet | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.42 | 1.49 | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Stjarnan and Ilves stands at 0 wins for Stjarnan, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Ilves. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with no goals scored. This result suggests that neither side has been able to assert dominance in their previous meeting, and the lack of scoring points to potential low-scoring patterns in their matchups.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonStjarnan have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Stjarnan 3-1 and beat Stjarnan 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 4D 5L from the last 13 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Ilves have won 1 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ilves 1-3 and drew with FC Differdange 03 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 2D 4L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStjarnan
No reported absences
Ilves
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Johnson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Johnson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Stjarnan average 1.8 goals per match at home; Ilves 2.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Ilves have generated 2.20 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ilves player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
