Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
Match Preview
The model favours Sturm Graz to win the match against SCR Altach, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sturm Graz has shown strong form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins and one draw. This positive momentum is crucial as they look to solidify their position in the league. Their ability to find the net consistently, alongside a solid defensive display, indicates they are well-prepared for this encounter. On the other hand, SCR Altach has had a mixed recent performance, winning three of their last five matches but also suffering two losses. This inconsistency could be a concern as they aim to improve their standings. While they have shown flashes of quality in their victories, the defeats suggest vulnerabilities that Sturm Graz may exploit. The model output indicates a win probability of 60% for Sturm Graz and suggests that they should secure a close victory. However, a potential caveat is that if SCR Altach can find their rhythm early or take advantage of any defensive lapses, they could challenge Sturm Graz's dominance. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Sturm Graz have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Sturm Graz win as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Sturm Graz clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Sturm Graz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.60 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.93 | |
| 1.61 | 3.90 | 5.15 | 1.76 | 2.03 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 1.63 | 4.18 | 5.37 | 1.78 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.69 | 4.69 | 1.80 | 2.06 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.63 | 3.88 | 5.12 | 1.77 | 2.01 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
| 1.68 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 1.84 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.84 | |
| 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 3.70 | 5.20 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sturm Graz leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Sturm Graz and SCR Altach, Sturm Graz has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 victory for SCR Altach. The scorelines suggest a strong advantage for Sturm Graz, as they have secured several narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also achieved a significant 4-0 victory. The lone win for SCR Altach came in a cup match, indicating that their success has been limited in league encounters. The two draws highlight some competitive moments, but overall, Sturm Graz has dominated this matchup historically.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Rapid Vienna | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Grazer AK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Austria Vienna | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSturm Graz have won 11 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Sturm Graz 1-1 and beat Sturm Graz 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 13D 6L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SCR Altach have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lask Linz 3-0 and lost to Sturm Graz 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 11L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSturm Graz
No reported absences
SCR Altach
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Jager has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by F. Jager to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sturm Graz have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; SCR Altach 2.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sturm Graz have generated 1.76 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sturm Graz player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
