SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Tips & Odds
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg
Match Preview
The model favours FC Augsburg to win this match against SV Elversberg, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are currently tied on points, but Augsburg holds a slight edge in goal difference and overall attacking prowess, having scored 11 goals compared to Elversberg's 8. Augsburg's season has been solid so far, as they sit in 4th place after four matches. They have managed to secure two wins, one draw, and one loss, showcasing a strong offensive output with a goal difference of +5. Their recent form has seen them win two of their last five matches, indicating a team that is starting to find its rhythm. On the other hand, Elversberg, positioned 7th, has also achieved two wins, complemented by one draw and one loss. However, their goal difference of +1 suggests they may struggle defensively, having conceded 7 goals. Their recent form of two wins and two losses, alongside a draw, highlights inconsistency that could be a concern going into this match. The model gives FC Augsburg a 40.8% chance of winning, compared to 33.7% for Elversberg. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 63.7%, with both teams likely to score given the BTTS probability of 65.2%. A potential caveat for Augsburg could be their defensive vulnerabilities, which might allow Elversberg to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The full methodology of our analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model focusing on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.
SV Elversberg have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. SV Elversberg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.70 | |
| 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.92 | 3.90 | 2.40 | 1.47 | 2.60 | 1.41 | 2.73 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (FC Augsburg leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, FC Augsburg defeated SV Elversberg with a score of 3-1 in the DFB Pokal. This match shows a clear victory for Augsburg, indicating a one-sided result. The scoreline suggests that Augsburg was able to secure a comfortable win, while Elversberg has yet to record a victory against them. Given this historical context, Elversberg will be looking to change their fortunes in future meetings.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSV Elversberg have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to SV Elversberg 1-2 and beat SV Elversberg 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 4L from the last 15 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Augsburg have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Werder Bremen 3-2 and beat Energie Cottbus 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 9L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSV Elversberg
No reported absences
FC Augsburg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SV Elversberg have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; FC Augsburg 11.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SV Elversberg have generated 1.27 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SV Elversberg player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
