Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe
Match Preview
The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Union Santa Fe, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Talleres currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina with 26 points from 16 matches. Their overall performance has been solid, with a goal difference of +4, indicating a stronger defensive record compared to their opponents. However, their recent form shows some inconsistency, as they have managed just one win in their last five fixtures. Union Santa Fe, on the other hand, is positioned 8th with 21 points from the same number of games. They have scored 24 goals this season, showcasing their offensive capabilities, but their defensive record is slightly weaker with 20 goals conceded. Union's recent form has been more promising, as they have secured three wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are capable of challenging Talleres. The model output indicates a win probability in favour of Talleres Cordoba, although it does not specify exact figures. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of a home victory, which often trends higher. However, Talleres' recent struggles could lead to an upset if Union Santa Fe capitalizes on their momentum. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results across the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 36% of matches. Union Santa Fe average 1.5 goals per game.
Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 0.96 goals per match. Union Santa Fe score 1.54 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.
Talleres Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Talleres Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Talleres Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 2.25 | 2.94 | 3.48 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.33 | 3.01 | 3.67 | 2.42 | 1.61 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 2.98 | 3.08 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.29 | 2.99 | 3.54 | 2.35 | 1.59 | 1.94 | 1.77 | |
| 2.17 | 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.23 | 1.62 | 1.90 | 1.81 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.37 | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 2.27 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.13 | 3.30 | 2.21 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Talleres Cordoba leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Talleres Cordoba and Union Santa Fe, Talleres has won 3 times, there have been 5 draws, and Union has claimed victory on 2 occasions. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, as evidenced by the 5 draws and multiple low-scoring games, including three 0-0 results. Talleres' largest margin of victory was 3-0, but Union also recorded a 3-0 win against Talleres in 2018. Union last won against Talleres in April 2018, suggesting a shift in the balance of results since then.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTalleres Cordoba have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Talleres Cordoba 0-0 and drew with Talleres Cordoba 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 9L from the last 25 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Union Santa Fe have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Aldosivi 1-3 and lost to Gimnasia M. 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 8L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTalleres Cordoba4-2-3-1Confirmed
Union Santa Fe
Not yet available
Unavailable Players
0 playersTalleres Cordoba
No reported absences
Union Santa Fe
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Union Santa Fe 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Talleres Cordoba have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Talleres Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
