Torino vs Udinese Prediction, Tips & Odds
Torino vs Udinese
Match Preview
The model favours a Torino win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are currently in the bottom half of the Serie A standings, with Torino sitting 14th and Udinese just above them in 13th. Both clubs have struggled early in the season, registering only one victory each from their last five matches. Torino has scored five goals while conceding eight, indicating a slight defensive vulnerability that they will need to address. Udinese, while also having the same number of points as Torino, has a slightly better attacking record with eight goals scored, although they have conceded eleven. Their recent form shows a concerning trend, having lost three of their last five matches. This lack of consistency could prove detrimental as they face a Torino side that will be eager to capitalize on home advantage. According to the model, Torino has a win probability of 41.4%, while Udinese's chances stand at 30%. The projected score emphasizes a close contest, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is 51.8%. A potential caveat for Torino is their defensive record; if they fail to tighten up at the back, it could allow Udinese to exploit any weaknesses, potentially leading to an unexpected result. The full method of our analysis, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Torino manage games at home, conceding just 1.48 goals per match. Udinese score 1.32 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
Torino have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Torino clean sheets, in line with their 23% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Torino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Torino vs Udinese| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.30 | 3.38 | 3.18 | 2.04 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.93 | |
| 2.30 | 3.36 | 3.16 | 2.06 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.91 | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.37 | 3.48 | 3.27 | 2.11 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.95 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Torino leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Torino and Udinese, Torino has won 6 times, Udinese has won 2 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive series, with several matches being closely contested, as evidenced by four matches finishing with a one-goal difference. However, Torino has had the upper hand in recent encounters, securing victories in four of the last five matches. The last win for Udinese came in January 2026, highlighting a gap in their success against Torino.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTorino have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Torino 0-2 and lost to Torino 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 14L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Udinese have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Udinese 1-1 and lost to Inter 5-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 14L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTorino
No reported absences
Udinese
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Torino have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Udinese 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Torino have generated 1.44 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Torino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
