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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira Prediction, Tips & Odds

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round
Torpedo Kutaisi
DWDLL
0 - 3
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Referee: M. Kapraly
Zira
WLWLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.95
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.87 (implied 53.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 55.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.79). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (55.9% vs 53.4%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Torpedo Kutaisi to win against Zira, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Torpedo Kutaisi's recent form shows they have secured one win, two draws, and suffered two losses in their last five matches. While this indicates some inconsistency, their overall performance could benefit from playing at home, where they typically have stronger support. Zira, on the other hand, comes into this match with a mixed record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five fixtures. This suggests that while they have the ability to secure points, they have struggled to maintain a consistent run of form. Their recent performances indicate they may face challenges against a home side looking to capitalize on their home advantage. According to the model, Torpedo Kutaisi has a higher win probability, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is that if Zira can find their rhythm and exploit any defensive vulnerabilities, they could potentially upset the prediction. The full methodology behind this prediction relies on an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season, as noted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Torpedo Kutaisi Win39%2.76
Draw23%3.39
Zira Win38%2.28
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6853.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8751.7%

Torpedo Kutaisi manage games at home, conceding just 1.20 goals per match. Zira score 1.27 on the road.

Correct Score
Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Zira
6.0416.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Torpedo Kutaisi -0.5
2.8333%

Torpedo Kutaisi have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.04
16.6%
0-1
7.53
13.4%
1-2
8.36
12.0%
1-0
8.46
12.0%
2-1
9.43
10.7%
0-0
9.71
10.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Torpedo Kutaisi
-0.0
1.97
Zira
+0.0
1.75
Torpedo Kutaisi
-0.3
2.45
Zira
+0.3
1.95
Torpedo Kutaisi
-0.5
2.83
Zira
+0.5
2.21
Torpedo Kutaisi
-1.5
5.50
Zira
+1.5
4.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Torpedo Kutaisi are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.953.352.151.851.851.672.00
Marathonbet
2.673.582.351.811.951.642.10
Betfair
2.633.502.301.851.851.752.00
Pinnacle
2.483.522.251.761.95
SBO
2.832.962.08
William Hill
2.753.302.301.622.15
Bet365
2.603.402.381.951.851.732.00
1xBet
2.673.582.351.811.951.642.13
Unibet
3.103.202.231.981.711.761.92
Betano
2.853.502.251.871.871.722.02
Superbet
2.803.352.351.851.871.672.07
BetVictor
2.753.402.401.791.881.622.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
48.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTorpedo Kutaisi or Draw
62%1.55
12Torpedo Kutaisi or Zira
77%1.27
X2Draw or Zira
61%1.38

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Zira leads 1-0)
0 Torpedo Kutaisi0 Draw1 Zira
08 Jul
Zira
3-0
Torpedo Kutaisi
UEFA Europa Conference League

In the only recorded match between Torpedo Kutaisi and Zira, Zira has a definitive advantage with 1 win and no draws or losses for Torpedo Kutaisi. The scoreline of 3-0 indicates a one-sided contest, showcasing Zira's dominance in that fixture. There have been no previous encounters to suggest a competitive rivalry, and Torpedo Kutaisi has yet to secure a victory against Zira. This solitary match highlights Zira's strength in their previous meeting.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Torpedo KutaisiZira
1.5Goals p.g.1.27
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1
30%Clean sheets36%
40%Win rate27%
2.7Avg goals in match2.27
Torpedo Kutaisi
Recent Form

Torpedo Kutaisi have won 1 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 and lost to Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 3D 3L from the last 10 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Torpedo KutaisiAll competitions
01 Jul
Saburtalo
2-2
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
27 Jun
Dila
0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0-0
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
17 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
2-3
Dinamo Batumi
Erovnuli Liga
13 Jun
Samgurali
2-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Erovnuli Liga
28 May
Torpedo Kutaisi
1-2
Gagra
Erovnuli Liga
4
Win
40%
3
Draw
30%
3
Lost
30%
Zira
Recent Form

Zira have won 1 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Zira 0-3 and lost to Araz 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 6D 2L from the last 11 games (27% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ZiraAll competitions
16 Jul
Torpedo Kutaisi
0-3
Zira
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 May
Araz
3-2
Zira
Premyer Liqa
17 May
Zira
2-1
Sumqayıt
Premyer Liqa
13 May
Sabah FA
2-1
Zira
Cup
08 May
Imisli FK
0-0
Zira
Premyer Liqa
03 May
Zira
1-0
Qabala
Premyer Liqa
3
Win
27%
6
Draw
55%
2
Lost
18%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Torpedo Kutaisi

No reported absences

Zira

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Torpedo Kutaisi Win2.76 (38.9%)
Zira Win2.28 (37.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (48.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (51.7%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (53.2%)
BTTS No2.05 (46.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.39 (23.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Kapraly has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Kapraly to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi average 1.5 goals per match at home; Zira 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Torpedo Kutaisi have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 40% of their matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. Torpedo Kutaisi player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.