Tottenham vs Everton Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tottenham vs Everton
Match Preview
The model favours Everton to win against Tottenham with a projected scoreline of 2-0. Everton is currently positioned fourth in the league, having played two matches, securing one win and one draw. Their solid start to the season is highlighted by a goal difference of +2, with three goals scored and only one conceded. This defensive stability, combined with an unbeaten run, gives Everton a strong case heading into this match. On the other hand, Tottenham finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 20th place, having lost both of their opening matches without scoring a goal. Their negative goal difference of -5 reflects significant defensive struggles, which could be a major concern as they look to turn their season around. With only two points from their last five matches, Tottenham's form is troubling, and they will need to find a way to improve quickly. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Everton, making them the clear favourites. However, one caveat is Tottenham's potential to bounce back at home; if they can find their attacking rhythm, they might pose a challenge. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Tottenham have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tottenham are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tottenham vs Everton| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.06 | 3.70 | 3.62 | 1.74 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.19 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.07 | 3.69 | 3.65 | 1.78 | 2.15 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.35 | 3.33 | 1.70 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.09 | 3.76 | 3.68 | 1.79 | 2.18 | 1.60 | 2.22 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tottenham leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between Tottenham and Everton, Tottenham has won 6 times, there have been 3 draws, and Everton has won once. The scorelines indicate a relatively one-sided matchup, with Tottenham achieving several heavy victories, including a 5-0 win and a 4-0 win. Everton's single victory was a narrow 3-2 result, while the majority of matches have seen Tottenham scoring at least two goals. The frequency of draws suggests some competitive encounters, but overall, Tottenham has been dominant in this recent head-to-head history. Everton's last win against Tottenham was in January 2025.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWW |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | DDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | DDW |
| 18 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTottenham have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tottenham 0-2 and beat Tottenham 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 11L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Everton have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Everton 1-1 and beat Preston 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 9L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTottenham4-2-3-1Confirmed
Everton4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersTottenham
No reported absences
Everton
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Tottenham have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Everton 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tottenham have generated 1.66 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 7.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tottenham player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
