TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Austria Vienna to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Austria Vienna enters this fixture in strong form, having won four of their last five matches. Their recent success indicates a solid attacking and defensive balance, which could be crucial against TSV Hartberg. The team's consistent performance suggests they have the momentum needed to secure another victory. On the other hand, TSV Hartberg has shown resilience, with three wins in their last five matches. However, their mixed results highlight a lack of consistency that may hinder their chances against a high-performing opponent like Austria Vienna. While they have managed to secure wins, the two losses in their recent form point to vulnerabilities that could be exploited in this matchup. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Austria Vienna, reflecting their current form and overall performance this season. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Austria Vienna winning, which appears promising. However, TSV Hartberg could pose a challenge if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which relies on an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
TSV Hartberg have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. TSV Hartberg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 2.88 | 3.22 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 2.91 | 3.33 | 2.57 | 2.04 | 1.85 | — | — | |
| 2.72 | 3.12 | 2.37 | 2.02 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.45 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.89 | 3.22 | 2.44 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.38 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 1.74 | 1.90 | |
| 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.42 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Austria Vienna leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between TSV Hartberg and Austria Vienna, the record stands at 3 wins for Hartberg, 1 draw, and 6 wins for Austria Vienna. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, though Austria Vienna has had the upper hand with several narrow victories, including a 1-0 win and a 2-1 win. Hartberg's victories have also been close, notably a 2-1 win and a 3-1 win. The draw frequency is low, with only one match ending in a stalemate, suggesting that these encounters often produce decisive outcomes. Hartberg last won against Austria Vienna in May 2025.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Rapid Vienna | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | WWLLD |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Grazer AK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Austria Vienna | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTSV Hartberg have won 9 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat TSV Hartberg 3-2 and lost to TSV Hartberg 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 8L from the last 32 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Vienna have won 10 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 0-6 and lost to Red Bull Salzburg 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 12L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTSV Hartberg4-3-3Confirmed
Austria Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Ristoskov has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
TSV Hartberg have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Austria Vienna 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
TSV Hartberg have generated 0.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. TSV Hartberg player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
