Tukums II vs Rēzekne FA Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tukums II vs Rēzekne FA
Match Preview
The model favours Tukums II to win against Rēzekne FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Tukums II currently sits in 12th place in the league standings, having accumulated 12 points from 18 matches. Their season has been challenging, reflected in their goal difference of -31, with 23 goals scored and 54 conceded. Despite their recent struggles, they have managed to secure three wins this season, which gives them a slight edge in this matchup. On the other hand, Rēzekne FA is at the bottom of the table in 14th place, with just 5 points from 19 games. Their solitary win this season has been hard to come by, as they have suffered 16 defeats, leading to a goal difference of -45 with only 14 goals scored. Their form has been particularly concerning, with five consecutive losses in their last matches, indicating significant difficulties both offensively and defensively. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Tukums II, suggesting they have a strong chance of securing three points. However, a caveat to consider is that if Rēzekne FA manages to improve its performance and take advantage of any defensive lapses from Tukums II, an upset could be on the cards. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 8 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Tukums II and Rēzekne FA stands at 3 wins for Tukums II, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Rēzekne FA over the last 8 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories. Tukums II has secured heavy wins, notably a 7-0 and 5-0, while Rēzekne FA's victories have been tighter, with no win exceeding a two-goal margin. The most recent win for Rēzekne FA was in 2025, suggesting that Tukums II has been more dominant in recent encounters.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 86 | 16 | 70 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 21 | 25 | 44 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 37 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Tukums II | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 12 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 61 | -45 | 6 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTukums II have won 3 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Tukums II 0-3 and drew with Tukums II 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 19L from the last 29 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rēzekne FA have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Riga Mariners 5-0 and lost to Skanste 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 22L from the last 31 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTukums II
No reported absences
Rēzekne FA
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
