U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
Match Preview
The model favours U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned second in the league, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has started the season well with two wins from three matches, scoring seven goals while conceding five. Their positive goal difference of two reflects a solid attacking capability, which will be crucial against a competitive opponent. Club Queretaro, sitting in sixth place, has also enjoyed a decent start to their campaign with two wins and a loss. They have netted five goals and conceded four, resulting in a goal difference of one. While their performance has been commendable, they will need to tighten their defence to avoid conceding against a strong Pumas side. According to the model, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a 57.3% chance of winning, with a 24.0% chance of a draw and an 18.7% chance for Club Queretaro. The expected outcome suggests a match likely to feature over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring at a rate of 55.3%. However, a potential caveat for Pumas could be a lapse in concentration at the back, which may allow Queretaro to capitalize. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheets, in line with their 34% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.81 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 1.84 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.72 | 2.06 | 1.62 | 2.13 | |
| 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 1.89 | 3.61 | 4.37 | 1.77 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.65 | 1.79 | 2.07 | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.25 | 3.70 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.85 | 3.52 | 4.00 | 1.72 | 2.06 | 1.62 | 2.16 | |
| 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.65 | 1.68 | 2.12 | 1.56 | 2.18 | |
| 1.83 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 1.88 | 3.80 | 4.35 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (U.N.A.M. - Pumas leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club Queretaro, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has won 5 times, drawn 2, and Club Queretaro has claimed victory 3 times. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several matches being tightly contested; however, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has achieved some notable wins, including a 4-0 and a 4-1 victory. The presence of two draws suggests competitive encounters, but Queretaro's last win was in August 2023, indicating they have struggled to secure points in recent meetings. Overall, while the series shows some balance, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has had the upper hand historically.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  Club Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WDWW |
| 4 |  Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | WWWLL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 | WLWW |
| 7 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWWL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LLLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonU.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-1 and lost to U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 7L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Club Queretaro have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 and drew with Los Angeles FC 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 9L from the last 28 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-1-4-2Confirmed
Club Queretaro4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersU.N.A.M. - Pumas
No reported absences
Club Queretaro
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Hernandez Andrade has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Hernandez Andrade to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have generated 0.91 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. U.N.A.M. - Pumas player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
