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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro

Liga MXApertura - 4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
#7 · Liga MX
DLLWL
0 - 0
Referee: K. Hernandez Andrade
Club Queretaro
#9 · Liga MX
LDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 (implied 61.4%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 63.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.57). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.9% vs 61.4%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned second in the league, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has started the season well with two wins from three matches, scoring seven goals while conceding five. Their positive goal difference of two reflects a solid attacking capability, which will be crucial against a competitive opponent. Club Queretaro, sitting in sixth place, has also enjoyed a decent start to their campaign with two wins and a loss. They have netted five goals and conceded four, resulting in a goal difference of one. While their performance has been commendable, they will need to tighten their defence to avoid conceding against a strong Pumas side. According to the model, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a 57.3% chance of winning, with a 24.0% chance of a draw and an 18.7% chance for Club Queretaro. The expected outcome suggests a match likely to feature over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring at a rate of 55.3%. However, a potential caveat for Pumas could be a lapse in concentration at the back, which may allow Queretaro to capitalize. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win52%1.85
Draw23%3.56
Club Queretaro Win25%3.93
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6355.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7252.7%

Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Club Queretaro
6.6515.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
U.N.A.M. - Pumas -0.5
1.8246%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.65
15.1%
2-1
7.65
13.1%
1-0
7.87
12.7%
2-0
9.21
10.9%
0-0
11.55
8.7%
1-2
11.68
8.7%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheets, in line with their 34% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
-0.0
1.36
Club Queretaro
+0.0
2.94
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
-0.5
1.82
Club Queretaro
+0.5
3.40
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
-1.5
3.20
Club Queretaro
+1.5
8.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.813.754.001.702.101.652.10
Marathonbet
1.843.504.001.722.061.622.13
Betfair
1.853.703.901.652.101.602.20
Pinnacle
1.893.614.371.772.14
SBO
1.853.403.651.792.07
William Hill
1.833.253.701.652.05
Bet365
1.903.703.901.732.081.672.10
1xBet
1.853.524.001.722.061.622.16
Unibet
1.863.603.651.682.121.562.18
888Sport
1.833.253.701.702.001.652.05
Betano
1.883.804.351.752.121.652.15
BetVictor
1.853.703.901.692.011.622.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XU.N.A.M. - Pumas or Draw
75%1.22
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas or Club Queretaro
78%1.25
X2Draw or Club Queretaro
48%1.90

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (U.N.A.M. - Pumas leads 5-3)
5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas2 Draw3 Club Queretaro
11 Jan
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1-1
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Jul 25
Club Queretaro
0-2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
Jan 25
Club Queretaro
3-2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
Nov 24
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Apr 24
Club Queretaro
1-1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
Oct 23
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Aug 23
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0-1
Club Queretaro
Leagues Cup
Apr 23
Club Queretaro
1-0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
Sept 22
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-1
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
Jan 22
Club Queretaro
1-3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX

In the last 10 matches between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club Queretaro, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has won 5 times, drawn 2, and Club Queretaro has claimed victory 3 times. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several matches being tightly contested; however, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has achieved some notable wins, including a 4-0 and a 4-1 victory. The presence of two draws suggests competitive encounters, but Queretaro's last win was in August 2023, indicating they have struggled to secure points in recent meetings. Overall, while the series shows some balance, U.N.A.M. - Pumas has had the upper hand historically.

Liga MX Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
5410102813
WWWDW
2
Toluca
531184410
WDWLW
3
Club Tijuana
431062410
WDWW
4
Monterrey
530212759
LWWLW
5
Leon
53027529
WWWLL
6
Atlas
43016519
WLWW
7
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
42117527
DWWL
9
Club Queretaro
52126607
LDWWL
16
Atletico San Luis
402248-42
LDDL
17
Santos Laguna
400428-60
LLLL
18
FC Juarez
5005315-120
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
U.N.A.M. - PumasHome
0W1D1L
2 playedGF 0 · GA 30.50 pts/game
Club QueretaroAway
1W1D0L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 12.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
1.76Goals p.g.1.04
1.28Goals conceded p.g.1.25
34%Clean sheets29%
45%Win rate29%
3.03Avg goals in match2.29
0.91xG per game1.69
-0.39xGA per game-0.25
45%Possession %42%
3.5Shots on target / game4.6
3.0Corners per game5.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-1 and lost to U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 7L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: U.N.A.M. - PumasAll competitions
11 Aug
Columbus Crew
1-1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Leagues Cup
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2-0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Leagues Cup
05 Aug
Charlotte
3-0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Leagues Cup
01 Aug
FC Juarez
1-5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX
12 Jul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0-1
America de Cali
Friendlies Clubs
05 Jul
Cancún
0-3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Friendlies Clubs
13
Win
45%
9
Draw
31%
7
Lost
24%
Club Queretaro
Recent Form

Club Queretaro have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 and drew with Los Angeles FC 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 11D 9L from the last 28 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Club QueretaroAll competitions
22 Aug
Club Queretaro
1-2
Toluca
Liga MX
16 Aug
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0-0
Club Queretaro
Liga MX
13 Aug
Los Angeles FC
1-1
Club Queretaro
Leagues Cup
09 Aug
Seattle Sounders
3-0
Club Queretaro
Leagues Cup
06 Aug
FC Dallas
2-0
Club Queretaro
Leagues Cup
01 Aug
Club Queretaro
3-2
Tigres UANL
Liga MX
8
Win
29%
11
Draw
39%
9
Lost
32%

Lineups

Confirmed

U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-1-4-2Confirmed

5Rubén DuarteDEF
6Nathan SilvaDEF
24Antonio LeoneDEF
31Robert MoralesFWD
23JuninhoFWD
1Keylor NavasGK
21Uriel AntunaMID
18Victor ArteagaMID
45Pedro ViteMID
8Adalberto CarrasquillaMID
7Rodrigo LopezMID
12Cristian CalderónDEF
2Pablo BennevendoDEF
199Kléber CarranzaDEF
34Angel AzuajeDEF
9Guillermo MartínezFWD
22Alan MedinaFWD
14Luciano HerreraFWD
35Pablo LaraGK
203Stanley GarcíaMID
20Santiago TrigosMID

Club Queretaro4-2-3-1Confirmed

24Bayron DuarteDEF
27Daniel ParraDEF
2Lucas AbasciaDEF
13Diego ReyesDEF
9Ali ÁvilaFWD
25Guillermo AllisonGK
4Carlo Adriano GarcíaMID
5Santiago HomenchenkoMID
16Enzo GiménezMID
20Alejandro AlcalaMID
12Paulo VictorMID
26Eduardo PerezFWD
1José HernándezGK
18Erik DueñasMID
29Waldo MadridMID
8Bernardo ParraMID
22Jean UnjanqueMID
28Jesús Arellano CamachoMID
30Mono MartínezMID
199Sergio GarciaMID
35Juan Pablo CázaresMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

No reported absences

Club Queretaro

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.63 (55.3%)
Value Bets
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win1.85 (52.3%)
Club Queretaro Win3.93 (25.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.72 (52.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.08 (47.3%)
BTTS No2.13 (44.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.56 (22.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

K. Hernandez Andrade has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Hernandez Andrade to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have generated 0.91 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. U.N.A.M. - Pumas player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.